Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Jackson, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
220 PM EDT FRI JUN 13 1997

WE HAVE A RATHER UNSTABLE AIRMASS THIS AFTERNOON AND A FEW SHRA/TSRA
HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP...MAINLY N AND W OF THE CWA. OROGRAPHY WILL
CONTINUE TO AID IN SCT TSRA FOR THE REST OF THE PM.

FOR TONITE THE MCS HEADING OUT OF IL AND INTO WRN KY WILL DIRECTLY
IMPACT OUR WEATHER. ETA/AVN/NGM ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN BRINGING VORT
MAX INTO WRN KY BY 12Z THEN INTO WRN NC BY 00Z SUNDAY. SATELLITE AND
RADAR LOOPS WOULD BRING THE MCS INTO THE CWA LATER TONITE...WITH BEST
MODEL UVM AROUND 12Z. LIKELY...MAYBE EVEN CAT POPS ARE IN ORDER. SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SVR PER WW#418 JUST TO OUR WEST BUT BELIEVE BIGGEST
THREAT WILL BE HVY RAIN. WOULD HIGHLIGHT THIS IN THE ZONES.

SAT AM STARTS OUT WET AND SOMEWHAT STORMY AS FRONT/SFC WAVE SLIDES
THRU. DON/T EXPECT A LOT OF CLRG UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. MAINLY
CLDY ALL DAY SRN TIER. SHRA/TSRA MAINLY IN THE MORNING...STILL LIKELY
POPS NEEDED TO COVER THIS.

WELCOME CLRG SAT NITE. WOULD EXPECT TO SEE VALLEY FOG FORMATION WITH
THE EXPECTED RECENT RAIN AND LITE WINDS. ETA/NGM ADVERTISE MEAN RH
VALUES AOB 30 PERCENT FOR SUNDAY. HAVEN/T SEEN THAT IN A WHILE!
STRAIGXHT SUNNY OUGHT TO WORK AS CURU MACRO ON PCGRIDDS SUGG NOT MUCH
CU DEVELOPMENT.

FWC GUIDANCE LOOKS APPEALING AND WOULDN/T STRAY TOO FAR.

JKL  64/74/57/81  8600
LOZ  64/74/56/82  8600

SES