Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
930 AM EST MON DEC 15 1997

THE IR IMAGE CONFIRMS THAT THE MESO-ETA SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE
ON THIS EVENT. SFC LOW OVR THE ATLC OFFSHORE OF JAX LOOKS TO MOV CLOSER
TO CSTLN TDY AS EFFECTS OF UPR LVL LOW SEEN IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGE
MOVS TWRDS THE SW. SFC PRES GRAD SHLD CONT TO TIGHTEN TDY W/ WNDS ALG
THE CST IN THE 20 TO 30KT RANGE AND GUSTING. SEAS FM JAX BCH PIER IN THE
8 - 10 FOOT RANGE. RPTS FM ALG THE CST IN FLAGLER INDCG PORTION OF A
FISHING PIER DESTORIED. IN NASSAU COUNTY... IN FERNANDINA... TWO BLOCKS
ON OCEAN AVE BETWEEN 4TH AND 6TH STREET ARE UNDERWATER AS DUNES HAVE
BROKEN. TIDES ARE CURRENTLY FALLING.

MAY HAVE TO REVISIT THE PRBLM OF W/ CSTL FLOOD WARNING AGN NXT HIGH TIDE.

SEVERAL PBLMS OF THE DAY...
RAINFALL CONTG WITH A NE FLOW AND .3 TO .4 PER HOUR FM ACTVTY MOVG
ONSHORE. SEVERAL RIVERS ARE RUNNING AT OR JUST ABV FLOOD STAGE THIS
MRNG. GROUND" ACRS THE AREA ARE COMPLETELY SATURATED.

WILL VISIT THE ZONES FOR UPDATES... AS POPS AND TEMPS WILL NEED SOME
TWEAKING.

K. KUYPER

AMZ435-450-452-454-470-472-474-
FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ154-166-150200-

SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1245 PM EST MON DEC 15 1997

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST...
...HEAVY SURF ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR DUVAL...NASSAU...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...ALACHUA...BAKER...
BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...MARION...PUTNAM...AND UNION COUNTIES...
...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
DUVAL...FLAGLER...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS AND UNION.

A STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS
ABOUT 100 MILES OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL DRIFT WEST
TODAY. GALE FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
COAST WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE AND UP TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE. TIDES
ARE EXPECTED TO RUN AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME
BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
HEAVY SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE AREAS BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
THE GROUND IS NEARLY SATURATED FROM RAIN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS AND STANDING WATER REMAINS IN MANY LOW LYING AREAS AND THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS ARE NEAR BANKFULL AND
HAVE NOT HAD TIME TO RECEDE. ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL INCREASE THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN THOSE AFOREMENTIONED LOCATIONS.

AREA RIVERS ARE APPROACHING OR ARE JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE NOW AND RESIDENTS
ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVERS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LEVELS CAREFULLY.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE GOING OUT TODAY SHOULD DRESS APPROPRIATELY
TO PROTECT AGAINST THE COLD...WIND AND RAIN.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD MAINTAIN A HIGH STATE OF
READINESS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL THIS STORM BEGINS TO MOVE
BACK TOWARDS THE EAST AND FURTHER OFFSHORE.
.
RAM

AMZ435-450-452-454-470-472-474-
FLZ024-025-033-038-GAZ154-166-150200-

SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1245 PM EST MON DEC 15 1997

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST...
...HEAVY SURF ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR DUVAL...NASSAU...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...ALACHUA...BAKER...
BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...MARION...PUTNAM...AND UNION COUNTIES...
...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...
DUVAL...FLAGLER...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS AND UNION.

A STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS
ABOUT 100 MILES OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL DRIFT WEST
TODAY. GALE FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
COAST WITH SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE AND UP TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE. TIDES
ARE EXPECTED TO RUN AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WHICH WILL CAUSE SOME
BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.
HEAVY SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE AREAS BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
THE GROUND IS NEARLY SATURATED FROM RAIN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS AND STANDING WATER REMAINS IN MANY LOW LYING AREAS AND THOSE
WITH POOR DRAINAGE. DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS ARE NEAR BANKFULL AND
HAVE NOT HAD TIME TO RECEDE. ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL INCREASE THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING...PARTICULARLY IN THOSE AFOREMENTIONED LOCATIONS.

AREA RIVERS ARE APPROACHING OR ARE JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE NOW AND RESIDENTS
ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVERS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LEVELS CAREFULLY.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES THROUGH TUESDAY. THOSE GOING OUT TODAY SHOULD DRESS APPROPRIATELY
TO PROTECT AGAINST THE COLD...WIND AND RAIN.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND RESIDENTS SHOULD MAINTAIN A HIGH STATE OF
READINESS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL THIS STORM BEGINS TO MOVE
BACK TOWARDS THE EAST AND FURTHER OFFSHORE.
.
RAM