Tornado Warning 60, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
233 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 1997

DRYLINE IN CENTRAL TX PUSHING EAST AS SW WINDS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
OVER THE FA.  HIGH DWPTS CONFINED TO THE SRN + ERN PORTIONS OF FA
WITH THE DRYLINE PUTTING THE SQUEEZE ON MAY STILL SEE SVR IN THE MDT
RISK AREA THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.  BY EARLY EVENING STORMS SHOULD BE
WELL EAST OF THE FA AND WNW SFC WINDS BLOWING OVER THE REGION.  WILL
LEAVE IN SLIM POPS FOR THE COAST AND EASTERN ZONES THIS EVENING (ERN
ZONES SHOULD STILL HAVE MENTION OF SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE THROUGH EARLY
EVENING) FOR THIS EVENING ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATION.  COLD FRONT HAS A WAYS TO GO TO GET HERE AND DO NOT
EXPECT IT UNTIL MIDNIGHT IN THE NW ZONES AND REACHING THE COAST BY
4AM.  WINDS WILL ALREADY HAVE GONE RATHER GUSTY AND WITH THE
INCREASED CAA WILL NEED TO HAVE BECOMING WINDY INCLUDED IN THE
COASTAL ZONES AND GALE FORCE FOR THE NSH.  S/W TO ROTATE THROUGH THE
REGION AFTER SUNRISE BRINGING MID-UPPER LEVEL LIFT AND MOISTURE TO
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY (LOTS OF AC) AND THEN THINNING DURING THE
AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH WITH THE LL COOLING WILL HAVE IN LOW CLOUDS OVER
THE NORTHERN ZONES...AND THEN A QUICK CLEARING TREND ON MONDAY AS
RIDGE AXIS WILL OVER THE REGION.  TEMPS WILL BE ON A STEADY DECLINE
WITH MINS TONIGHT IN THE 50S INLAND AND SUNDAY NIGHT LOWER 40S TO
AROUND 40 INLAND.  WILL BE FAVORING THE WARMER NGM FOR MINS.

45

PRELIMS
CLL E E>B/B V 051 062/040 058 0000  NW NEAR 15 AND GUSTY TONIGHT
IAH E E>B/B V 055 063/042 062 -000            "
NE  E E/>B V  056 063/041 061 3000  BCMG NW 15 TO 20 AND GUSTY TONITE
GLS E E/>B V  064 064/049 062 2000  BCMNG WINDY TONITE GUSTS 35 MPH
                                     AFTER MIDNIGHT

TXZ176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-260000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1125 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 1997

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.  A MODERATE RISK EXISTS MAINLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTSVILLE TO HOUSTON TO FREEPORT. AREAS TO THE
WEST ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

A STRONG JETSTREAM WITH EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL ROLL OVER THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON COMBINING WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND
THE ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
OF WHICH MAY RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO STRENGTHEN AS THEY MOVE TO THE EAST WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER BEING ISOLATED TORNADOES AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED AS
THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT UNFOLDS THIS AFTERNOON.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
ACTIVATION BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS SOURCES FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

TXZ176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-260000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1125 AM CDT SAT OCT 25 1997

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.  A MODERATE RISK EXISTS MAINLY
EAST OF A LINE FROM HUNTSVILLE TO HOUSTON TO FREEPORT. AREAS TO THE
WEST ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

A STRONG JETSTREAM WITH EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL ROLL OVER THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON COMBINING WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND
THE ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
OF WHICH MAY RAPIDLY BECOME SEVERE.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO STRENGTHEN AS THEY MOVE TO THE EAST WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER BEING ISOLATED TORNADOES AND POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED AS
THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT UNFOLDS THIS AFTERNOON.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
ACTIVATION BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS SOURCES FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS RAPIDLY DEVELOPING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.


TXZ163-164-260000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1228 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 1997

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HOUSTON AND TRINITY COUNTIES THROUGH
7 PM. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS BARRELING TOWARD SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS THIS
FRONT PLOWS INTO THE WARM MOIST AIR RESIDENT OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY THIS
AFTERNOON.  SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...
GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.  AT THIS TIME...THE CURRENT
TORNADO WATCH ONLY INCLUDES A SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...HOWEVER
OTHER SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER TO DEVELOP IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA.  A WARNING MEANS THAT
SEVERE WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED AND PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.  REPEATING...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HOUSTON
AND TRINITY COUNTY UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING.