Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE/SPARTANBURG, SC
215 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

.FCST TRENDS GOOD WITH SOME BEEFING UP NEED FOR TNT PORTION.

GOOD THERMAL MOIST BNDRY ALONG NC-SC BORDER HOLDING NEARLY STNRY INTO
EVENING WITH STRONG AREA OF FORCING WORKING UP BNDRY AS LOW APRCHS
FROM WEST OVERNIGHT.  WOULD RECOMMEND DROPPING PSBL FROM (CAE..HVY RAIN
AND RAH...FROM TSTMS).  POPS SHLD GO CLOSE TO CATEGORICAL.  IF YOU WANT
TO MENTION PSBL OF SOMETHING...GO PSBL SVR FOR TSTMS THIS EVENING INTO
EARLY MORNING HOURS.

STRONG DYANMICS CONTINUE THRU NIGHT AND RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF ARND
RUSH HOUR FROM WEST TO EAST.  ANOTHER S/W WILL MOVE ACROSS LATE WED
WITH LTL OMEGA SHOWING ON TIME SECTIONS..BUT Q FORCING STILL PRETTY
STRONG 700 AND ABV WITH THIS DURG AFTN.  FRONT AND SHIFT TO NW FLOW
ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AND SOME LOW LVL MOISTURE LINGERING
SO WOULD NOT RULE OUT ANOTHER BRIEF SHOT LATE IN THE DAY.

DWPMTS ALRDY AHEAD OF MOS IN WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF BNDRY SO THINK LOWS
TNT MAY BE ABV MOS FCST.  CLDS AND PRECIP WILL HELP HOLD DOWN WED.
DWN SLOPE AND STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP WILL MIXED AND ABV GUID WED NT
AND THURSDAY DWNSLP AGAIN WILL HELP ADD A FEW DEG.

WE AGAIN MAY SEE ABOUT A 12 MB PRESS DIFF ACROSS NC AS THIS DEEPENING
LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST SO WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THURSDAY.

WOULD NOT FEEL BAD ABOUT A FFA FOR MTNS OF NC UP TO GRAHAM...SWAIN...
HAYWOOD AND BUNCOMBE.  NE GA MTN CNTIES ALSO MAY BE IN NEED..BUT IT
IS CLOSE CALL SO WILL NOT PUSH TO HVY TO FCST OFFICES.

GSP 61/67/47/73 */5/1/0
CLT 60/67/49/74 */6/2/0
AVL 57/61/42/63 */5/1/0

NEAL

SCZ001>014-019-GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-
062>072-082-221800-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1155 AM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA
   ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND ALSO FROM THE SOUTHERN
   MOUNTAINS TO SOUTHERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING
   INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WEDNESDAY...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A COLD FRONT
THAT IS EXPECTED TO STAY NEARLY STATIONARY FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA
EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY.  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AS THE LOW PRESSURE AREA APPROACHES.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS
COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...MAINY DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AVERAGING 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM NORTHEAST GEORGIA
INTO THE SOUNTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA WITH SOME HEAVIER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN LOCALLIZED AREAS.  THIS MAY BRING CREEKS AND
STREAMS IN THESE AREAS NEAR BANKFULL.

SPOTTER GROUPS MAY NEED ACTIVATION LATE TODAY MAINLY DURING THE
EVENING OR EARLY MORNING HOURS.  LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS...
WATCHES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
COMMERCIALLY AVAILABLE RADIO..TV OR CABLE TV.

NEAL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
323 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

TIME (EDT) .....CITY LOCATION....... ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           .....COUNTY LOCATION.....

322 PM     ELBERTON                  GA   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/22/97   ELBERT                         911 REPORTED QUARTER HAIL

WAJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
323 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

TIME (EDT) .....CITY LOCATION....... ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           .....COUNTY LOCATION.....

322 PM     ELBERTON                  GA   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/22/97   ELBERT                         911 REPORTED QUARTER HAIL

WAJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
404 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

TIME (EDT) .....CITY LOCATION....... ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           .....COUNTY LOCATION.....

357 PM     ABBEVILLE                 SC   .75 INCH HAIL
04/22/97   ABBEVILLE                      DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY
                                          ABBEVILLE COUNTY JAIL

JZ

SCZ001>014-019-GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-
062>072-082-230400-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
405 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED AGAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AT MID AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA
AND IN THE LOWER PIEDMONT OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.  LARGE HAIL HAD
ALREADY FALLEN AROUND ELBERTON.  THESE STORMS ARE JUST THE FIRST STORMS
WHICH WILL AFFECT OUR AREA DURING THE NIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS ALABAMA AND OTHER DEEP
SOUTH STATES AT MID AFTERNOON.  TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNINGS WERE BEING ISSUED FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS.  THIS AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG A STALLED FRONT DURING THE
EVENING.

THE MOST DANGEROUS PERIOD TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL EXTEND FROM ABOUT MID EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.  THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR PLENTY OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS...AND PERHAPS TORNADOES.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO THREATEN MUCH OF THE AREA AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS BEING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AT LEAST...AND
COULD BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE OTHER AREAS.

THE STORMS...LIKE THOSE LAST NIGHT...MAY CAUSE AN INCREDIBLE AMOUNT OF
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.  YOU SHOULD REMEMBER THAT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE CANNOT ISSUE WARNINGS FOR LIGHTNING...BECAUSE THERE IS
NO WAY TO PREDICT WHEN OR WHERE A GROUND STRIKE MAY CAUSE DAMAGE OR
INJURY.  WE WILL...HOWEVER...CONVEY INFORMATION ABOUT LIGHTNING
FREQUENCY IN OUR SHORT TERM FORECASTS...STATEMENTS...AND WARNING
BULLETINS.

SKYWARN SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEM^ENT AGENCIES SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...AND
BE READY FOR LIKELY ACTIVATION.

JONES

SCZ001>014-019-GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-
062>072-082-230400-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
405 PM EDT TUE APR 22 1997

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED AGAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AT MID AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA
AND IN THE LOWER PIEDMONT OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.  LARGE HAIL HAD
ALREADY FALLEN AROUND ELBERTON.  THESE STORMS ARE JUST THE FIRST STORMS
WHICH WILL AFFECT OUR AREA DURING THE NIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS ALABAMA AND OTHER DEEP
SOUTH STATES AT MID AFTERNOON.  TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNINGS WERE BEING ISSUED FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS.  THIS AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST NORTHEAST ALONG A STALLED FRONT DURING THE
EVENING.

THE MOST DANGEROUS PERIOD TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL EXTEND FROM ABOUT MID EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.  THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR PLENTY OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS...AND PERHAPS TORNADOES.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO THREATEN MUCH OF THE AREA AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS BEING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AT LEAST...AND
COULD BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE OTHER AREAS.

THE STORMS...LIKE THOSE LAST NIGHT...MAY CAUSE AN INCREDIBLE AMOUNT OF
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.  YOU SHOULD REMEMBER THAT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE CANNOT ISSUE WARNINGS FOR LIGHTNING...BECAUSE THERE IS
NO WAY TO PREDICT WHEN OR WHERE A GROUND STRIKE MAY CAUSE DAMAGE OR
INJURY.  WE WILL...HOWEVER...CONVEY INFORMATION ABOUT LIGHTNING
FREQUENCY IN OUR SHORT TERM FORECASTS...STATEMENTS...AND WARNING
BULLETINS.

SKYWARN SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...AND
BE READY FOR LIKELY ACTIVATION.

JONES