Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
243 PM MDT (343 PM CDT) SUN MAY 25 1997

PESSIMISTIC FORECAST IN THE MAKING WITH ALL MODELS POINTING TOWARDS
CLOUDS EVEN OUT TO TUESDAY AS COOLER AIR SURGES BEHIND SFC LOW.
QPFSRD VEY HELPFUL IN LATER PERIODS FOR LOCKING ME INTO
COOL AND DAMP PATTERN. DIDNT DEVIATE FROM POP GUIDANCE MUCH ALTHO
TEMPS FOR HLC MEMORIAL DAY...FWC SAYS 71... IS PROBABLY WAY TOO
HIGH. THERE DIDNT SEEM TO BE ANY INDICATION THAT NORTH OF I-70
THE CLOUD COVER WILL BREAK EXCEPT FOR A BRIEF PERIOD TONITE. AND
WITH WET GROUND AROUND...FIG SHOULD SET UPIN LIGHT WINDS. SO
PERSISTENCE ON TEMPS STILL THE RULE THIS PACKAGE.

...KS ZNS 14-16...29 IN WW 319 TIL 03Z

GLD 052/060/049/060 4673  HLC 053/062/050/061 5673
CBK 054/061/051/061 5673  MCK 051/059/046/060 5673
TRB 051/065/050/062 5673  ITR 049/060/048/060 5674

VOJTESAK

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-260600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
951 AM MDT SUN MAY 25 1997

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

CHEYENNE CO   CHEYENNE KS   DECATUR KS     DUNDY NE        GOVE KS
GRAHAM KS     GREELEY KS    HITCHCOCK NE   KIT CARSON CO   LOGAN KS
NORTON KS     RAWLINS KS    RED WILLOW NE  SHERIDAN KS     SHERMAN KS
THOMAS KS     WALLACE KS    WICHITA KS     YUMA CO

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

SYNOPSIS: ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
EXITING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...AND A WELL-DEVELOPED SURFACE LOW
IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS WILL ALLOW SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
LATER TODAY.

PERIODS OF SUNSHINE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 THIS AFTERNOON
WILL ONLY INCREASE THE INSTABILITY PRESENT IN THE LOWEST LAYERS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND DRIFT SOUTHEAST ALONG A YUMA
COLORADO TO RUSSELL SPRINGS KANSAS LINE.

THE PRIMARY THREATS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE WIND FORECASTS FROM THE SURFACE TO THE
UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE DO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CHEYENNE
COUNTY COLORADO AND EAST INTO GREELEY AND WICHITA COUNTIES
OF KANSAS.

VOJTESAK

KSZ014>016-029-260315-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
212 PM MDT SUN MAY 25 1997

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THOMAS...SHERIDAN...GRAHAM AND
GOVE COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST KANSAS UNTIL 10 PM CDT...

THE STORMS PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS ISSUED A TORNADO
WATCH FOR THOMAS...SHERIDAN...GRAHAM AND GOVE COUNTIES OF NORTHWEST
KANSAS UNTIL 10 PM CDT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OUT OF COLORADO DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL HELP DEVELOP
THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS. FURTHERMORE...A STATIONARY
FRONT REMAINS DRAPED OVER CENTRAL KANSAS FROM TOPEKA TO JUST NORTH
OF GARDEN CITY WHERE A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED. LATEST
WIND PROFILER AND UPPER AIR DATA INDICATE THAT TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE IN THESE COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HOURS.

A WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF A TORNADO...THE SAFEST PLACE IN A HOME OR
BUSINESS IS AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE.  AVOID
WINDOWS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...RADIO...CABLE TELEVISION...OR
TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER
SITUATION.

MARTELLO