Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
225 PM MDT (325 PM CDT) THU AUG 28 1997

..PRIMARY CHALLENGE TO BE CHANCE FOR THUNDER TONIGHT AND TEMPS...

ALL MODELS PROGGING S/W OVR SE UTAH TO MOVE OVER TOP OF STUBBORN
H5 RIDGE TONIGHT. WITH STG JET MAX MOVING OVER TOP OF RIDGE
ATTM...FEEL NGM IS TOO AMPLIFIED WITH THE RIDGE. ETA SEEMS TO GRASP
THE SURFACE PRESSURE AND H85 TEMP FIELDS THE BEST. FINALLY...ETAS
SLOWER TIMING OF S/W IS MORE ACCEPTABLE AFTER LOOKING AT WV IMAGERY
...SO WILL GO WITH IT.

CURRENTLY...ISOLD STRONG THUNDERSTORM HAS DEVELOPED NEAR LIC IN
COLORADO WHERE LEE SIDE TROF HAS DEEPENED THIS AFTN. CONTINUED
AFTERNOON HEATING ALONG WITH DYNAMIC COOLING FROM THIS STORM SHOULD
HELP IN ERODING CAP SOME MORE. CAPES PROGGED TO BE OVER 2000 J/KG
NORTH OF I-70 THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH LIS AROUND -10. FURTHERMORE
...TPWS PROGGED TO INCREASE EAST OF LEE TROF TO 1.25 INCHES IN AREA
OF BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE.

WITH THIS IN MIND AND ETAS PROGGED QV CONV OVER NW HALF OF CWA...
WILL TAPER POPS FROM 30 PCNT NW TO NOTHING EXTREME S AND E. ALSO...WK
FLO ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SLOW MOVEMENT OF ANY ACTIVITY. AREAS OF FOG
WILL BE INTRODUCED ERN CWA WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS AND LIGHT WINDS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

L/W TROF TO CONT DIGGING ACROSS PAC NW HELPING TO COLLAPSE RIDGE
SOME...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO RELIEVE AREA FROM HEAT. SO JUST LOOK
FOR MSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS TO CONT. WIDELY SCT POPS
AGAIN IN ERN CO FRI EVE IN VICINITY OF SFC TROF. WILL STICK WITH
PERSISTENCE AS FWC MOS TEMPS HAVE BEEN GOOD OF LATE AND MATCH WELL
WITH ETAS 2M PROG. DONT SEE ANY REASON TO DEVIATE.

GLD...NONE

MARTELLO

NEZ080-081-290300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
728 PM MDT (828 PM CDT) THU AUG 28 1997

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE APPROACHING HITCHCOCK AND RED WILLOW
COUNTIES...

AT 827 PM CDT A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. THE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO
NORTHERN RED WILLOW AND NORTHERN HITCHCOCK COUNTIES BY 845 PM
CDT...AND THEN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST.

IF YOU LIVE IN RED WILLOW OR HITCHCOCK COUNTIES...YOU CAN EXPECT
HEAVY RAIN...HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS. STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR
THE LATEST ON THESE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS STORMS.

MENTZER

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-290605-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1032 PM MDT (1132 PM CDT) THU AUG 28 1997

...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP FROM YUMA COUNTY
COLORADO TO DECATUR COUNTY KANSAS. AT 1130 PM CDT (1030 PM MDT) THE
STRONGEST STORM WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF ATWOOD WHERE PEA SIZED HAIL
WAS REPORTED.

THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 2 AM CDT (1 AM MDT). BRIEF HEAVY
RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS. MOST THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

IF A THUNDERSTORM MOVES NEAR YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A BUILDING UNTIL
THE STORM ENDS.

MENTZER