Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Hastings, NE

CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
248 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 1997

MAIN QUESTION IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE ANY CONVECTION IN THE CWA WITH
FROPA.

18Z SFC CHART HAD COLD FRONT YKN-BBW-GLD WITH SEVERAL TROFS AHEAD OF IT.
UEX 88D HAD AT LEAST 5 BOUNDARIES SHOWING UP WHICH MAY OR MAY NOT TRIGGER
CONVECTION. 60+ DEW POINTS OVER MOST OF THE CWA WITH SLIGHTLY LESS
MOISTURE WORKING ITS WAY IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST. ALOFT CLOSED LOW
REMAINS IN THE DESERT SW KICKING OUT PIECES OF ENERGY AND ANOTHER S/W
MOVING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS.

HANDLING OF THE CLOSED LOW DIFFERNT IN THE MODELS TODAY WITH THE ETA
MOVING IT THE FASTEST TO THE EAST. THE NGM/AVN SIMILIAR IN ITS LOCATIONS
BUT THE NGM FILLS IT MORE THAN THE AVN. IN ANY EVENT NGM/AVN PATTERN
PREFERRED AND BY 48 HRS THE UPPER LOW PROGGED TO BE IN THE TX P/H.
AFTER NRN STREAM TROF PASSES THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING FLOW ALOFT
BECOMES NW ACROSS THE CWA. LOOKS LIKE FRONT HANGS UP IN SRN KS/OK AND
COULD BE SOME HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT FEEL THIS
WILL BE ALL SOUTH OF THE HSA.

LOOKS TO ME LIKE THE HSI CWA IS PROBABLY OUT FROM UNDER THE GUN FOR ANY
SEVERE WX THIS EVENING BUT JUST TO THE EAST AND SOUTH WHEN THE FRONT
HITS THE 65 DEW POINTS IT COULD BE ANOTHER MATTER. PROBABLY COULD
HAVE A FEW ISOLATED TRW IN THE KS CWA TONIGHT BUT FOR THE MOST PART
THINK WE MAY HAVE MISSED OUT ON ANY BIG OUTBREAKS TODAY. SO CLOUDS
SHOULD BE SCATTER OUT TONIGHT AND THEN MAINLY FAIR WEATHER FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES COOLER ON MONDAY BUT WARM UP
AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

GRI BB 060/081/064/084 -000
HBR BB 063/080/062/082 1000
ODX BB 058/080/060/081 -000
LXN BB 057/080/062/082 -000
BLT BB 065/082/066/085 3000

GRIFFITH