Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
225 PM EST WED MAR 5 1997

WBC...WRKZFP OK.

ANOTHER IN A SEEMINGLY NEVER ENDING SERIES OF STG HIGH PRES WEDGES
DOMINANT OVER MOST OF FA THIS AFTN. FINALLY ERODING IN FAR SRN VA AND
NE NC ATTM. FAR NW COUNTIES WL BE THE LAST TO BREAK LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY
EVENING.

POSITIVE-TILT UPR TROF IN MIDWEST MVS TO EAST TNT. SFC LOW RACES TO NEW
ENG ON THURS THEN BOMBS OUT IN GULF OF ME. VORT LOBE ASSOCD WITH
CONVECTION WILL CROSS AKQ FA TNT WITH SHRA. BEST CHC TS WUD BE FAR SE
WITH BEST INSTABILITY. LDS STOKES TRENDING DOWN AS CONVECTION MVS INTO
MORE STABLE AIR OVR MTNS. JET COUPLET AND BEST VORT ADV...UVV AND
MOISTURE PASS TO NORTH BUT PCPN BAND SHUD STAY TOGETHER ENOUGH TO AT
LEAST GIVE SM BRIEFLY MODERATE SHRA AT TIMES TNT. TEMPS SHUDN/T FALL
MUCH UNTIL PASSAGE OF CDFNT LATE AT NIGHT. CDFNT WL MAKE IT OFF CST BY
SUNRISE...CLEARING BEHIND FRONT WITH GUD DVM AND CAA BECOMING
ESTABLISHED THURS AM.

MSTLY SUNNY THURS...A BIT OF CU AS REGION CONTS IN CYC FLOW THRU PM.
GUD CAA WITH 850 TEMPS -5C OR BLO BY LT AFTN. TEMPS WL BE AIDED BY
DOWNSLOPE TRAJ AND STRENGTHENING MARCH SUN BUT SHUD TOP OUT ONLY CLOSE
TO NORMS FOR EARLY MARCH (MID 50S). A STG WIND WL MAKE IT FEEL COOL...
GOOD KITE FLYIN WX ON MOUNT TRASHMORE

MSTLY CLR AND COOL WX TO CONT THURS NT INTO FRI AS HI PRES DOME MVS TO
EAST CST BY FRI PM. TEMPS A BIT BLO NORM BUT SLACKENING WINDS WILL MAKE
FOR PLEASANT CONDS.

FAN/FWC GUID IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT...BUT LOOK A LTL WARM FOR A GUD
CAA EVENT TMRW. WILL HUG GUID IN LTR PERIODS TIL WE SEE HOW GOOD THEIR
DOING IN THIS AIR MASS.

CWF: NEW MRP GUID SUGGEST MARGINAL GALES LT TNT INTO EARLY THURS. WITH
STRENGTH OF IMPENDING CAA...WUD BE PRUDENT TO HOIST GALES ALL CSTL WTRS.

RIC    45/54/32/54   7000
ORF    49/55/37/53   620-
SBY    43/51/29/49   8100
ECG    47/55/35/54   6200

CULLEN

VAZ065-079-087-092-093-095>098-060500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
557 PM EST WED MAR 5 1997

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  THIS MEANS THAT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND
NEAR THE WATCH AREA.  BLINDING DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO LIKELY ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS.

PERSONS IN SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD BE
ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER AND REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA AND CABLE TELEVISION FOR
THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN
BE FOUND ON OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/AKQ.

NS

VAZ065-079-087-092-093-095>098-060500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
557 PM EST WED MAR 5 1997

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.  THIS MEANS THAT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN AND
NEAR THE WATCH AREA.  BLINDING DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL
ALSO LIKELY ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS.

PERSONS IN SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD BE
ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER AND REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO
LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL MEDIA AND CABLE TELEVISION FOR
THE LATEST STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN
BE FOUND ON OUR INTERNET WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/AKQ.

NS