Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Sacramento, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1 AM PST SUN FEB 4 1996

PRECIPITATION WITH SECOND SYSTEM NOW OVER THE SAC VALLEY WITH
HEAVIEST RETURNS BEING PICKED UP NORTH OF MARYSVILLE.  THIRD SYSTEM
CURRENTLY NEAR 140W BECOMING MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED. SAT IMAGERY SHOWS
ENERGY STILL SPILLING IN TO SYSTEM FROM NEAR THE DATELINE.

NOT TOO ENTHUSED BY ANY OF THE MODELS ANALYSES...BUT SINCE THAT IS
ALL THERE IS WILL HEDGE AGAIN TOWARD THE NGM AND AVN AND LEAN
FORECAST ON THEM. TIMING OF PRECIPITATION WITH THIRD SYSTEM STILL
LOOKS TO BE DURING LATER AFTERNOON TODAY. WILL SEE SOME BREAKS IN
PRECIPITATION BETWEEN NOW AND THEN WITH RADAR ALREADY SHOWING A
TEMPORARY DECREASE IN ECHOS TO THE WEST OF SAC. BOTH NGM AND AVN
CONTINUE TREND OF SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN THE SAC VALLEY
TODAY SO SHOWERS PROBABLE...TSTMS POSSIBLE.

AFTER MONDAY NIGHT ALL MODELS TRENDING TO DRY SOUTHERN PORTION OF
FORECAST AREA OUT AS JET MOVES FUTRTHER NORTH.

BLU 44/38/41...++/++/++
SAC 63/52/62...++/++/++ (SAC EXEC)

TE/KS

CAZ001>010-042000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
530 AM PST SUN FEB 4 1996

            ...THE RAIN JUST WONT QUIT...

VERY MOIST SUBTROPICAL AIR CONTINUED FLOWING INTO NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA OVERNIGHT...AND IT WILL JUST KEEP BRINGING RAIN TO
OUR REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT.  THE RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...AND POSSIBLY SOUTH THROUGH SANTA CRUZ AND THE
MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY AND SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTIES AS WELL.

THE HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE LOCAL FLOODING OF STREETS AND SMALL
STREAMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND THE
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO VALLEY...WHERE AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY.

OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED IN THE SIERRA NEVADA...
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF YOSEMITE.  SNOW LEVELS IN THE SIERRA WILL BE
QUITE HIGH...AT 7 TO 8 THOUSAND FEET.  BELOW THOSE ELEVATIONS A LOT
OF SNOWMELT WILL OCCUR...WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCAL FLOODING AND
SNOWSLIDES.

THERE WILL ALSO BE STRONG WINDS IN THE SIERRA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR MORE ARE LIKELY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN EXPOSED
AREAS.  STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT IN THE MOUNT
SHASTA-SISKIYOU REGION AND ALONG THE COAST FROM THE SAN FRANCISCO
BAY AREA NORTHWARD.  THE WINDIEST PERIOD SHOULD BE FROM THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

PERSONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...ESPECIALLY FROM THE SAN
FRANCISCO BAY AREA NORTH...SHOULD KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE WEATHER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.  BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLOODING
OCCURS...AND KEEP A FLASHLIGHT HANDY IN CASE OF A POWER OUTAGE.  IF
TRAVELING TO THE SIERRA NEVADA...BE PREPARED FOR RAIN AND A LOT OF
WATER ON THE ROADS AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND POSSIBLE SNOW...ICE...AND
WIND AT PASS LEVELS.  CARRY CHAINS AND WARM CLOTHING.

WIND AND RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DECREASING LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.  DRY WEATHER SHOULD REjTURN TO THE REGION BY TUESDAY EXCEPT
IN THE FAR NORTH...WHERE PERIODS OF RAIN ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE ALL
WEEK.

MARKKANEN
LEAD FORECASTER

CAZ006<008-041600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REDDING CA
615 AM PST SUN FEB 04 1996

       ...RAINY WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHSTATE...

A LARGE PACIFIC STORM SENT A SURGE OF WARM AND MOIST AIR FROM THE
SUBTROPICS INTO THE NORTHSTATE DURING THE NIGHT.

AS OF 430 AM PST...24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS WERE LESS THAN ONE AND
HALF INCHES IN THE SHASTA SISKIYOU REGION AND LESS THAN ONE INCH IN
THE NORTH END OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS. A
FEW 24 HOUR RAIN TOTALS FROM AROUND THE LOCAL AREA; MOUNT SHASTA CITY
0.62...REDDING FIRE STATION 0.87...RED BLUFF AIRPORT 0.94...SNOW
MOUNTIAN 1.22...AND GIRARD WITH 1.42 INCHES.

SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM ARE QUITE HIGH AND VARY FROM NEAR 7000
FEET NEAR THE OREGON BORDER TO 8000 FEET IN PLUMAS COUNTY IN THE
NORTHERN SIERRA NEVEDA.  RAINFALL ALONG WITH MELTING SNOW COULD
CAUSE PONDING OR MINOR FLOODING ON ROADWAYS...CAUSING YOUR VEHICLE
TO HYDRO-PLANE. MOTORIST ARE URGED TO DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION.

THE WET SPELL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A
BREAK FOR PLACES IN THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY.

CAZ006<008-041600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REDDING CA
615 AM PST SUN FEB 04 1996

       ...RAINY WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHSTATE...

A LARGE PACIFIC STORM SENT A SURGE OF WARM AND MOIST AIR FROM THE
SUBTROPICS INTO THE NORTHSTATE DURING THE NIGHT.

AS OF 430 AM PST...24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS WERE LESS THAN ONE AND
HALF INCHES IN THE SHASTA SISKIYOU REGION AND LESS THAN ONE INCH IN
THE NORTH END OF THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY AND SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS. A
FEW 24 HOUR RAIN TOTALS FROM AROUND THE LOCAL AREA; MOUNT SHASTA CITY
0.62...REDDING FIRE STATION 0.87...RED BLUFF AIRPORT 0.94...SNOW
MOUNTIAN 1.22...AND GIRARD WITH 1.42 INCHES.

SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS STORM ARE QUITE HIGH AND VARY FROM NEAR 7000
FEET NEAR THE OREGON BORDER TO 8000 FEET IN PLUMAS COUNTY IN THE
NORTHERN SIERRA NEVEDA.  RAINFALL ALONG WITH MELTING SNOW COULD
CAUSE PONDING OR MINOR FLOODING ON ROADWAYS...CAUSING YOUR VEHICLE
TO HYDRO-PLANE. MOTORIST ARE URGED TO DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION.

THE WET SPELL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A
BREAK FOR PLACES IN THE SOUTH ON TUESDAY.