Severe Thunderstorm Warning 322, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
330 PM CDT TUE JUL 9 1996

TSTMS FORMED RAPIDLY THIS AFTN IN VRY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR AS SHORT
WAVE RODE UP WK FNTL BNDRY. ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT.
CHC FOR TSTMS APPEAR TO CONT THROUGH THE WEEK ACCORDING TO ETA/AVN.
NGM KEEPS ACTIVITY FURTHER NORTH...BUT INITIALIZED BNDRY TOO FAR NORTH.
ANOTHER VORT TO MV INTO NE TX WED MORNING WITH UNUSUAL MSTR FEED FROM
WESTERN OK. AIR CONT TO BE UNSTABLE AS UPR FLOW VEERS TO WNW IN RESPONSE
TO UPR HIGH IN NORTH GULF MOVING WEST INTO SOUTH TX COAST. ENERGY LATER
IN PERIOD TO SPIN OFF SW TX VORT LOBE. CROSS SECTIONS REVEAL MODERATE
VERTICAL MOTIONS THRU PERIOD AND CONT ON AVN THRU 72 HOURS. BEST MSTR
AND ENERGY MAINLY TO NORTH AND WEST OF CWA SO WILL LEAVE CHC CAT.
A SLGHT COOLDOWN ON DAYTIME HIGHS WITH MODIFIED CAN AIR AND INCREASED
CLD CVR. WILL GO CLOSE TO NGM TEMPS EVEN THOUGH THEY ARE SHOWING A
WARM BIAS IN COMP TO OTHER MODELS.

SHV 72/89/70/91  6523       MLU 74/87/70/92  5623
VII

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