Severe Thunderstorm Warning 87, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
310 PM EDT MON MAY 27 1996

SUGGESTIONS...
NONE.

DISC...
WELL..I/VE BEEN TOO BUSY TO LOOK AT MUCH OTHER THAN THE ETA AND NGM
AS THEY CAME IN EARLIER. I/VE COORD WITH WBC ABOUT A FFA TONIGHT.
FFA IS ALREADY UP FOR MY CRW ZONES...AND IN THE NRN MTNS OF N.C.
CURRENT FCSTS SEEM TO BE ON THE RIGHT TRACK...LOOKED LIKE LESS OF A
CHC FOR RW & TSTMS IN THE MTNS TUE..BUT MAYBE MORE EAST OF THE BLUE
RIDGE. QSTNRY FRONT SHUD BE FURTHER NORTH & ACTION SHOULD BE NEAR

JJ

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-
059-WVZ042>045-281200-

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
NOON EDT MON MAY 27 1996

...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
   TONIGHT OVER SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
   AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...

A FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA AND INTO NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO REACH SEVERE
LEVELS WOULD BE OVER NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...THE NEW RIVER
VALLEY AND MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINA.THE REST OF WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA ALONG AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP ARE ALSO LIKELY TO HAVE VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. FLASH
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...THE NEW RIVER VALLEY AND MOUNTAIND EMPIRE OF
VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA WHERE AS LITTLE AS 1.0 TO
1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN AN HOUR COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
THIS EVENING IF THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OR WIDESPREAD
FLOODING MATERIALIZES.

THE NEXT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 630 AM
TUESDAY.

JACKSON

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042>045-271920-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
122 PM EDT MON MAY 27 1996

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EFFECTIVE UNTIL 700 PM FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH
OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST VOIRGINIA. IN THE BLACKSBURG WEATHER OFFICE
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY THIS WATCH INCLUDES TAZEWELL...SMYTH AND
BLAND COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA...AND MERCER...SUMMERS...MONROE AND
GREENBRIER COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA.

AT 115 PM THE BLACKSBURG DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WERE JUST BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL KENTUCKY WAS MOVING EASTWARD TOWARDS
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. THESE STORMS
WOULD ARRIVE IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED COUNTIES LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...BE
PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE INDOOR SHELTER.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. PLEASE
STAY ALERT TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING ALONG CREEKS...SMALL
STREAMS LOW LYING AREAS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

JACKSON