Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1020 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 1996

WBC...I/VE SEE YOUR WRKZFP. LIKELY LOOKS GOOD FOR MOST- PROB COULD
BE CATEG FOR THE HIGHLANDS. TEMPS MAY ALSO BE WARMER ALONG AND E OF
THE BLUE RIDGE. ALREADY MID 70S THERE.

RDU...MAY WANT TO CONSIDER PUTTING A CHC IN THE PIED. THESE STORMS
ARE MOVING 50 MPH..AND HOLDING TOGETHER. COULD REACH YOUR ZONES THIS
AFT.

CRW...PROB COULD UP POPS FOR THE NEW RIVER VALLEY TO LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...

HAVE BEEN TRACKING THE MCS ON OUR 88D AS IT CROSSES WV. WE ARE
CONCERNED ABOUT THE BOW APPEARANCE. WE ARE DETECTING >50 KTS WINDS
WITH THE LEADING LINE...BUT THAT'S STILL ABOUT 8000 FT. NO REPORTS
OF ANY DAMAGING WINDS OUT OF CRW/S CWA. WE ARE ALSO EXPECTING HEAVY
DOWNPOURS WITH THE STORMS AS DOWNSTREAM 850 DEWPOINT WAS 17..15 HERE
AT RNK. HOWEVER..MVMNT IS FAST ENOUGH THAT SOME AREAS MAY GET A
QUICK INCH- STILL BELOW GUIDNCE. THIS MCS IS HOLDING TOGETHER WELL
ENOUGH SO THAT WE MAY NEED TO UP POPS IN SOME AREAS. OTHER CONCERN
IS POSS OF SVR AS THIS MCS MOVES INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR E OF
THE APPNS.

JJ

VAZ007-009>011-013-014-018>020-022>024-WVZ042>045-241510-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1007 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 1996

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE HEADED FOR SOUTHEAST WEST
   VIRGINIA THIS MORNING...

AT 1006 AM...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS JUST TO THE
WEST OF GREENBRIER AND SUMMERS COUNTIES IN WEST VIRGINIA. THE
STORMS WERE MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 40 MPH.

THEY WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO GREENBRIER AND SUMMERS COUNTIES IN WEST
VIRGINIA BY 1015 AM AND AFFECT MONROE AND MERCER COUNTIES BETWEEN
1030 AM TO 1100 AM. THE LINE SHOULD REACH THE VIRGINIA BORDER BY
1045 AM TO 1100 AM AS WELL.

THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF ABOUT AN INCH OF
RAIN IN A SHORT TIME. ALSO...EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 35 TO 45
MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

THE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD REACH THE BLUE RIDGE
IN VIRGINIA BY ABOUT 1230 PM TO 100 PM. KEEP ALERT LATE THIS
MORNING FAND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE
STORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD INTENSIFY AS THE DAY GOES ON.

KANE

NCZ005-006-VAZ013-014-017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
241600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1058 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THROUGH 400 PM FOR WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH EFFECTIVE UNTIL 400 PM THIS AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. IN
BLACKSBURG/S AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...THE WATCH EXTENDS FROM BATH...
ALLEGHANY...CRAIG...MONTGOMERY AND FLOYD COUNTIES EASTWARD THROUGH
THE LEXINGTON...ROANOKE...LYNCHBURG...DANVILLE AND REIDSVILLE
AREAS.

AT 1055 AM DOPPLER RADAR AT BLACKSBURG SHOWED A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA THAT IS MOVING
RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD AT 40 TO 45 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE MOVING INTO THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE NEW RIVER VALLEY AREA BETWEEN NOON AND 100 PM. THE STORMS WILL
THEN MOVE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AFTER 100 PM.

SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM
THESE STORMS IN WEST VIRGINIA. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AS THEY MOVE INTO VIRGINIA...ESPECIALLBY AS THEY MOVE EAST OF THE
BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE.