Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
300 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

DISC.. HV HAD ONLY A QUICK LOOK AT THE MODELS AND GRIDDS. LOOKS LIKE
THE FNT WILL BE COMING THRU SW VA AROUND 12Z. HOWEVER...THERE IS A
TROF/SQUALL LINE OUT AHEAD OF THE FNT MVG THRU SW VA NOW. HOPEFULLY
THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL PASS WITH THIS FEATURE. MDT RAIN STILL NOTED
IN NERN TN AND FAR SW VA THO. SOME S- BEHIND THE FNT AS TEMPS
PLUMMET...BUT LOOKS LIKE WON/T AMOUNT TO MUCH. GREATEST CONCERN OF
COURSE IS THE AMOUNT OF RAIN WE WILL GET BEFORE ENDING. LOOKS LIKE
WE WILL HV WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS OUR CWA THIS MORNING & THEN
SOME RIVER FLOODING LATER.

AS FOR THE FORECAST...JUST TIME THE FNTAL PASSAGE WITH THE ENDING OF
HVY RAIN IN THE 1ST PERIOD. FRHT80 INDS SOME POTENTIAL FOR
INSTABILITY SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MTNS THIS AFT & EVE. OTHER THAN
THAT...EMPHASIZE THE COLD WITH FALLING TEMPS TOO. HIGH TODAY WILL BE
THE 12Z TEMP MOST AREAS. TEMPS IlN THE LOW TEENS ALREADY IN W. KY.

ROA 58/14/33/19 +201

JJ

NCZ004>006-020-191040-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
237 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THIS MORNING FOR THE NORTHWEST
PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 AM
THIS MORNING.

AT 230 AM DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
THROUGH THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE LINE EXTENDED
ACROSS YADKIN AND SURRY COUNTIES...AND WAS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 20
MPH. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE STORMS
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE GUSTS GREATER THAN 55 MPH.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

JACKSON

NCZ001-002-003-018-019-VAZ018>020-022>024-035-191200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
310 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS MORNING FOR WEST CENTRAL
   VIRGINIA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE
1500 FEET:
ALLEGHANY...AMHERST...BATH...BOTETOURT...CRAIG...ROANOKE AND ROCKBRIDGE

THE COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDED IN THE HIGH WIND
WARNING ARE ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA AND WILKES.

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN REGIONS OF THE CAROLINA'S AND THE VIRGINIA'S.
THE STRONG WINDS WILL MAINLY BE FELT ABOVE SURFACE ELEVATIONS OF
1500 FEET. SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT
SURGES EASTWARD TOWARDS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

IF DRIVING IN THE WARNED AREA USE CAUTION FOR HIGH WINDS THROUGH
THE GAPS AND ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY
BECOME DANGEROUS TO HANDLE. POWER MAY BECOME DISRUPTED DUE TO FALLING
TREES ON POWER LINES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
JW

VAZ018>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-191340-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
435 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA FROM THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS EASTWARD
INTO THE PIEDMONT. AN ARCTIC FRONT IN EXTREME SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AT
400 AM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE BLUE RIDGE AND INTO THE
PIEDMONT AREAS LATER THIS MORNING.

RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE AREA WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED...
GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS WITH UP TO 3 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE A SHARP DROP IN TEMPERATURE
BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL RAPIDLY INTO THE 20S
DURING THE MORNING IN MOST LOCATIONS. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME FREEZING
OF THE STANDING WATER ON THE ROADS AVND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO PAY SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THE CHANGING ROAD
CONDITIONS AND WATCH FOR SLICK ROADS LATER THIS MORNING OR
EARLY AFTERNOON.

JACKSON

VAZ018>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-191340-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
435 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA FROM THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS EASTWARD
INTO THE PIEDMONT. AN ARCTIC FRONT IN EXTREME SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AT
400 AM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE BLUE RIDGE AND INTO THE
PIEDMONT AREAS LATER THIS MORNING.

RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE AREA WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW AFTER THE
FRONT PASSES. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED...
GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS WITH UP TO 3 INCHES IN THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE A SHARP DROP IN TEMPERATURE
BEHIND THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL RAPIDLY INTO THE 20S
DURING THE MORNING IN MOST LOCATIONS. THIS MAY CAUSE SOME FREEZING
OF THE STANDING WATER ON THE ROADS AND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.

MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO PAY SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THE CHANGING ROAD
CONDITIONS AND WATCH FOR SLICK ROADS LATER THIS MORNING OR
EARLY AFTERNOON.

JACKSON

NCZ004>006-020-191300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
534 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM FOR
THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 530 AM DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT EXTENDING THROUGH STOKES
COUNTY. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EAST AT ABOUT 30 MPH...AND
WILL PASS THROUGH ROCKINGHAM AND CASWELL COUNTIES BY 700 AM.

THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
WITH THE SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS THIS WOULD BE ENOUGH TO DOWN
SOME TREES...WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR BLOCK ROADWAYS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE STORMS
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE GUSTS GREATER THAN 55 MPH. LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

JACKSON

NCZ004>006-020-191300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
534 AM EST FRI JAN 19 1996

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM FOR
THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 530 AM DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT EXTENDING THROUGH STOKES
COUNTY. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE EAST AT ABOUT 30 MPH...AND
WILL PASS THROUGH ROCKINGHAM AND CASWELL COUNTIES BY 700 AM.

THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
WITH THE SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS THIS WOULD BE ENOUGH TO DOWN
SOME TREES...WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR BLOCK ROADWAYS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THESE STORMS
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE GUSTS GREATER THAN 55 MPH. LISTEN TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES OR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

JACKSON