Flash Flood Warning 66, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
825 PM EDT TUE SEP 3 1996

RADAR INDICATES STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO OVER 4 INCHES ACROSS
ROCKINGHAM AND PORTIONS OF CASWELL COUNTY IN NC AND IN HENRY...
FRANKLIN...PITTSYLVANIA AND CAMPBELL COUNTIES IN VA. BASED ON IFLOWS
DATA AND SFC REPORTS...RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES ARE LIKELY 1.5 TO
PERHAPS 3 TIMES TOO LOW IN THIS AREA. IN OTHER WORDS 2 TO 6 INCHES
OF RAIN (UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF 5.5 INCHES IN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY) HAS
FALLEN IN THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS. MOST OF THIS RAIN HAS OCCURRED
IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. BASED ON FLASH FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING IN
PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY VIRGINIA AND ROCKINGHAM COUNTY NORTH CAROLINA AND
TRAINING RADAR ECHOES EXTENDING FM THE ABV MENTIONED AREA S INTO SRN
NC...WD STRONGLY RECOMMEND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ABOVE
MENTIONED COUNTIES AT LEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT.

OTHERWISE...BASED ON RADAR TRENDS LOOKS LIKE 40 TO 50 PCT POPS FOR
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT W OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND LIKELY TO CATAGORICAL E
OF THE BLUE RIDGE. WD LIKE HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE MENTIONED FOR ALL
ZONES E OF THE BLUE RIDGE FOR TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG FOR MOST AREAS
AS WELL.

CRW...THANKS FOR COORD CALL.
WBC...NEED FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF S-CNTRL VA. WANT HEAVY
      RAIN POSSIBLE IN ALL ZONES EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. POPS SEEM
      TOO HIGH IN ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS. NEED POPS ALL NIGHT CHC RAIN
      ALL NIGHT LONG IN ALL ZONES. OTHERWISE...PREV FCST LOOKS
      GOOD.
RDU...NEED FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL NC. WANT HEAVY
      RAIN POSSIBLE IN ALL ZONES EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. POPS NEED TO
      BE RAISED E OF THE BLUE RIDGE. OTHERWISE...PREV FCST LOOKS
      GOOD.

BLACKBURG CLIMO:
HIGH TDY:     67
ATTM:         64
LOW THIS AM:  63
PCPN 8AM-8PM:.32

FIRST GUESS NMBRS:
ROA 64/75   65
BCB 62/70   45
BOO 59/67   45
WLK 63/76   65
LYH 64/74   85

MTE

VAZ044-032150-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
345 PM EDT TUE SEP 3 1996

...HEAVY DOWNPOURS CONTINUE ACROSS PITTSYLVANNIA COUNTY...

AT 345 PM DOPPLER RADAR IN BLACKSBURG VIRGINIA SHOWED A BAND OF
SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN REMAINS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORRION OF
PITTSYLVANNIA COUNTY. RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL OF UP TO AN INCH PER
HOUR...AND A TOTAL OF UP TO 3 INCHES SINCE ABOUT NOON TODAY.

POLICE IN BOTH CHATHAM AND DANVILLE REPORT A FEW STREETS IN BOTH
CITIES WITH STANDING WATER. THIS MINOR FLOODING WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AS THE HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES.

THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO LIGHTER SHOWERS BY ABOUT 500
PM. HOWEVER...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WITH HEAVY
RAIN OVERNIGHT.

PEOPLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF PITTSYLVANNIA COUNTY SHOULD KEEP AN
EYE ON THE WEATHER TONIGHT...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN CAUSES FLOODING.

RESIDENTS OF DANVILLE AND CHATHAM SHOULD USE CAUTION
WHILE TRAVELING THIS EVENING...AS SOME ROADS AND
LOW-LYING AREAS MAY BE COVERED BY WATER.

JACKSON