Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
245 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 1995

DISCUSSION...

88D CONT TO SHO RW/TRW'S TRKING NWD INTO CWA.  DIALING INTO KRAH
INDCTNG LOTS OF RW/TRW ALSO TRKING NWD AND JUST GETTNG INTO SRN THRD
OF KFCX RANGE.  WATER VAPOR SHOING AN INTRSTING FEATURE...WHILE VRY
NOTICEABLE PRGSION OF DEEP RH TO THE EAST...DEEP RH BULDGING BACK TO
THE WEST OVR SC/NC AS TRW'S STREAM NWD FROM SC.  THIS SHUD STILL
POSE PRBLMS TO MUCH OF RNK CWA...PARTICLY E OF BLUE RIDGE THRU THE
EVENING.  IN ADDITION TO THIS AREA...RW/TRW STARTING TO POP OVR SRN
NRV AND NWRN NC WITH SOME HTNG...ALSO TRKING TO THE NORTH.

LATE THIS EVENING OR TOWARD MDNIGHT MOST OF DEEP RH SHUD FINALLY BE
LCTD TO THE EAST OF MOST OF CWA...EXCPT MAYBE EXTRME ERN COUNTIES.

MONDAY SHUD BE A DRIER DAY...BUT WITH ATMOS STILL MODERATELY
UNSTBLE...DRIER AIR ALFT AND DECENT SPEED SHEAR FROM H8 TO H5... MAY
HAVE TO SHFT FOCUS FROM HVY RAIN PRDCNG TRW TO PTNTL FOR SVR.

NOT TOO CRAZY ABOUT POPS FOR MON FRM EITHER FWC OR FAN.  WITH
INSTABLTY STILL A PRBLM/SPEED SHEAR AS MNTND ABV AND PRGD TO HAVE
LAPSE RATE OF 25C FROM H8 TO H5...THNK AT LEAST A 30-40 POP IN ORDER
FOR MTNS AND 30 POP FOR PDMNT

NOGUEIRA

VAZ022-091555-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
951 AM EDT SUN JUN 9 1996

...VERY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS ROANOKE COUNTY AND THE CITIES OF ROANOKE
AND SALEM...

AT 950 AM DOPPLER RADAR AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BLACKSBURG INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAIN TRACKING ACROSS ROANOKE COUNTY...AND THE CITIES OF ROANOKE AND
SALEM.  ROANOKE AND SALEM POLICE INDICATED PONDING OF WATER ON SOME
LOW LYING ROADS PRONE TO MINOR FLOODING IN VERY HEAVY RAIN.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EMPLOYEES HAVE IN ROANOKE HAVE INDICTED A
HALF INCH OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES IN ADDITION TO AN INCH OF RAIN SINCE
8 AM.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER THE AREA AT 950 AM...WITH
LIGHTER SHOWERS INDICATED BY RADAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE COUNTY.
THE VERY HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER TO LIGHTER RAIN BETWEEN
10 AM AND 1030 AM.

ADDITIONAL PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS
LIKELY TO OCCUR THROUGH 1030 AM...BUT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS OUTLET FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NOGUEIRA

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-
059-WVZ042>045-101200-

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1205 PM EDT SUN JUN 9 1996

...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...

ABUNDANT MOISTURE IS STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES.  A FEW OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LEVELS...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND IN SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING THUNDERSTORMS...STORMS
THAT DO FORM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...AND EVEN FLASH FLOODING.

WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
...SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NOGUEIRA