Tornado Warning 46, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
3 30 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

SHORT TERM DISC...TNTE THRU TUE: ETA MUCH STGR ON SW APCNHG FM KS.
FEATURE DEPICTED ON SATL LOOP MATCHED WELL WITH ETA AND THUS FOLLOWED
ETA GUIDANCE MOST CLOSELY. SW PROGD BY ETA TO BE IN S KS BY 00Z THEN
MOVE TO SE OF MLC BY 12Z MON. FEATURE WILL BEGIN TO PRODUCE  MORE
WDSPRD ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES OVR MUCH MORE UNSTABLE AMS LATE THIS PM.
ACTIVITY SHLD MOVE SWD INTO N CNTL...THEN CNTL...ZONES. OTHER
SVR ACTIVITY DVLPNG S OF SFC BNDRIES IN HI CAPE AIR WITH LOTS OF
INSOLATION. LARGE ISOLD RIGHT MOVG SVR STORM IN WRN OK ATTM IS
GENERATING GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTS.

UPR SYS MOVES THRU ALL BUT SRN PTN OF FA FOR MON WITH RHS DROPPING
ALL BUT SE. WL KP POPS IN FOR AM ACRS N CNTL/CNTL THEN THRU AFTN FOR SE.

FOR MON NITE/TUES FNTL BNDRY MOVES N ACRS FA INTO SRN KS BY 48 HRS.
BEST MOISTURE/LEAST CAPPING IN CNTL/ SERN ZNES SO KPT POPS IN THRU TUES.

LONG TERM DISC...WED THRU FRI...REMNANTS OF FNT OVR AREA AND NW FLO ALFT
WL SET STAGE FOR CONTINUED CHCS OF RW/TRW. ESP OVRNIGHTS ON EDGE OF CAP.
HIEST CHCS ON FRI...AS LO LVL RTN MOISTURE FLO INCREASES...LOWEST CHCS
ON THU AS SWRN US RIDGE PUSHES OUT ACRS SRN PLNS AND CAPPING STGST. THRU
EXTD PD HIEST POPS WILL BE NRN AND ERN ZONES.

FCSTID = 7

FIRST GUESS NUMBERS...SUBJECT TO CHANGE

OKC   65  85  67  90 /  50  30  20  30
HBR   67  91  68  94 /  40  10  10  20
SPS   67  91  68  94 /  40  10  10  20
GAG   63  89  65  92 /  30  10  10  10
PNC   64  85  65  89 /  50  20  10  10
DUA   66  87  67  87 /  40  40  30  30

.OKC...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

PURPURA

OKZ004>006-009-010-110815-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
100 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS...
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HOLDENVILLE TO OKLAHOMA CITY TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE WEST OF ERICK.

CLOUDS WERE BREAKING UP AT MIDDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
WIDESPREAD SUNSHINE WAS ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS. SATELLITE PHOTOS AT EARLY AFTERNOON
SHOWED A DISTURBANCE ALOFT MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN KANSAS.
ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR HAS SPREAD INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...ABUNDANT
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF
NORTH TEXAS.

DAYTIME HEATING AT THE SURFACE ALONG WITH SOME COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE THIS
AFTERNOON. IT IS LIKELY THAT SCAATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...
MOST PROBABLY  IN THE HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR OVER  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. WIND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD...A FEW OF THEM MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH
TEXAS MAY POSSIBLY REQUIRE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DGN

OKZ004>006-009-010-112000-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
100 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS...
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HOLDENVILLE TO OKLAHOMA CITY TO THE
TEXAS STATE LINE WEST OF ERICK.

CLOUDS WERE BREAKING UP AT MIDDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
WIDESPREAD SUNSHINE WAS ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS. SATELLITE PHOTOS AT EARLY AFTERNOON
SHOWED A DISTURBANCE ALOFT MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN KANSAS.
ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR HAS SPREAD INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...ABUNDANT
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF
NORTH TEXAS.

DAYTIME HEATING AT THE SURFACE ALONG WITH SOME COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE THIS
AFTERNOON. IT IS LIKELY THAT SCAATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP...
MOST PROBABLY  IN THE HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR OVER  SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. WIND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD...A FEW OF THEM MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

SPOTTER GROUPS ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN PART OF NORTH
TEXAS MAY POSSIBLY REQUIRE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DGN

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
325 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
DATE       ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0255 PM    ALEDO                     OK   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/11/96   DEWEY

0300 PM    10 NW CUSTER CITY         OK   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/11/96   CUSTER

MCCLURE

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
410 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
DATE       ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 PM    4 NW ARAPAHO              OK   1.00 INCH HAIL
08/11/96   CUSTER

0340 PM    FOSS                      OK   1.75 INCH HAIL
08/11/96   WASHITA

0348 PM    1 S FOSS                  OK   60 MPH WINDS
08/11/96   WASHITA

0355 PM    BRURNS FLAT                OK   83 MPH WIND GUST
08/11/96   WASHITA                        RECORDED BY CLINTON
                                          ASOS.

MCCLURE

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
500 PM CDT SUN AUG 11 1996

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
DATE       ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0430 PM    12 NW LONE WOLF           OK   WIND DAMAGE
08/11/96   KIOWA                          6 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER
                                          TREE LIMBS DOWN.
                                          80 MPH WINDS.
                                          0.88 INCH HAIL.

0431 PM    2 W DILL CITY             OK   WIND DAMAGE
08/11/96   WASHITA                        TREES DOWN.

0454 PM    1 N GRANITE               OK   75 MPH WINDS
08/11/96   GREER

0454 PM    ALTUS LAKE                OK   1 INCH HAIL
08/11/96   GREER
                   $

MCCLURE