Severe Thunderstorm Warning 385, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
255 PM CDT THU JUN 6 1996

OUTFLO BNDRY CURRENTLY LOOSING STEAM AS IT MOVS ACRS CNTRL OK. AMS S OF
BNDRY IS RECOVERING FM MORNG CNVCTN AND EXPCT THIS BNDRY TO BCM FAIRLY
ACTV LTR THIS AFTN. TRW CURRENTLY GOING UP NR OKC. LN OF TSTMS THAT WAS
ALG SRN KS BRDR NOW ALSO COMING SWD INTO NRN ZNS. EXPCT ALL OF THIS
ACTVTY TO PROPAGATE SWD ACRS FA TNGT.

MDLS ALL AGREE ON BRINGING IN DRY AIR SWD LT TNGT AND FRI. TAIL-END VORT
MAX FCST TO DIVE INTO AR BY 48HRS...BUT Q-VECTOR FIELDS INDCT THAT MOST
LIFT SHUD BE E OF FA. MDLS DO...HWVR...WRAP A FAIR AMT OF LO LVL MSTR
BACK INTO THE ERN HALF OF OK ON SAT AND THIS LUKS RSNBL. WL GO WITH
MOSUNNY ON FRI AND PTCLDY ON SAT. WL KEEP POPS (AFT 1ST PD) BLO 20 FOR
NOW...BUT SERN ZNS WL HV TO BE WATCHED IF CDFNT DOES NOT PUSH FAR ENUF
SE TO WIPE THE DEEP MSTR AWAY.    ..04..

GAG 55/81/52/84 3100    PNC 59/78/54/80 4111    HBR 60/84/59/86. 6100
SPS 62/80/59/82 6111    OKC 62/80/59/82 +111    DUA 65/81/64/84 8111

.OKC...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

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OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-061830-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
1230 AM CDT THU JUN 6 1996

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THIS AREA IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM STILLWATER TO ELK
CITY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS AREA IS GENERALLY
THAT PORTION OF OKLAHOMA NORTH OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SOUTHEAST
KANSAS...THROUGH EXTREME NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...INTO THE CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE IN LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS COLD FRONT.
ONCE THE FRONT PASSES A LOCATION...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS
SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHED.

AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...THERE ARE NUMEROUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES CREATED
BY THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THERE IS ALSO AN APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE HEADED FOR OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COLD FRONT...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...AND UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE FORCES TO PRODUCE ENOUGH LIFT TO GET
THUNDERSTORMS STARTED. ONE NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA IS A CAPPING INVERSION.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...WITH INCREASING WIND SHEAR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OFd THE COLD FRONT.

SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD LISTEN FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED
FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

11