Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
315 PM EDT MON SEP 16 1996

S/W TROF AND ASSOC STRONG TSRA/SHRA WL SHIFT E OF THE FA BY TUE MORNING
BUT UNTIL THEN...WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP RATHER HIGH POPS GOING FOR TONITE
AS BANDS OF TSRA CONT RAPIDLY EWD THRU MD TN.  CURRENT WIDESPREAD RAIN
OVR E TN IS MOVG SO FAST IT WL BE ALMOST OUT OF THE EXTREME NE CORNER
BY FORECAST VALID TIME THIS EVE BUT THE 1ST WAVE OF TSRA WL ENTER THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AROUND 21Z.  STRONGEST STORMS AGAIN EXPECTED OVR THE
SRN VLY COUNTIES.  WOULD STAY CLOSE TO FAN TEMPS TONITE.

CD FNT DROPS INTO THE NRN PLATEAU AND NRN VLY ZONES TWD DAYBREAK BRINGING
AN END TO THE RAIN ARND OR JUST BEFORE 12Z IN THESE AREAS.  FNT CONTINUES
S ACRS REMAINDER OF E TN DRNG THE MORNING ALLOWING THE AREA TO DRY OUT.
HOWEVER...LOW CLOUDS WL REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ACRS E TN AND
BELIEVE NGM HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS.  WITH LOW CLOUDS IN PLACE AND
CAA BEHIND FNT...WOULD STAY CLOSER TO FAN TEMPS EXCEPT 80 AT CHA LOOKS
TOO WARM.
>
DRY AIR GRADUALLY FILTERS INTO E TN TUE NITE ALLOWING SOME CLEARING
HOWEVER...NLY FLOW WL KEEP TEMPS FM DROPPING QUITE AS LOW AS SOME OF
THE FAN TEMPS SUGGEST SO WOULD TAKE A COMPROMISE HERE.  SUNSHINE
RETURNS ON WED HOWEVER...COOL N-NELY FLOW WL KEEP TEMPS CLOSER TO
FAN NUMBERS.