Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
218 PM EST FRI JAN 26 1996

TRAPPED COLD AIR IN ZONE 22 IS SLOWLY ERODING AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
ERODE AS PRESSURES FALL RAPIDLY.  THUS THE FRZNG RAIN ADVSY ISSUED
EARLIER WL MOST LKLY NOT NEED TO BE EXTENDED.  HOWEVER CHEROKEE AND
CLAY COUNTIES WHERE THE WEDGE IS DEEPER WL EXPERIENCE FRZNG RAIN FOR
AT LEAST SVRL MORE HOURS.  RALEIGH YOU MAY EVEN CONSIDER UPGRADING THE
ADVSRY FOR CHEROKEE AND CLAY COUNTIES INTO A WARNING SINCE SIGNIFICANT
ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

NOW FOR THE DEVG FLASH FLOOD THREAT FOR TNT.  ALL PARAMETERS ARE
COMING TOGETHER AS I WRITE THIS.  STRONG UPR LVL DIV...LLJ OF 50 TO 60
KNOTS...PW VALUES OVER 1 INCH...LOW LVL THETA-E RDG AND WV PLUME ARE
ALL SETTING THEIR SIGHTS ON MY CWA.  POTL WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS MY CWA TNT SINCE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE STILL
RUNNING HIGH FROM THE PAST FEW SYSTEMS.  2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE BEFORE IT IS ALL SAID AND DONE.

THE RAIN WL END AROUND THE TIME OF FROPA AFT MIDNIGHT TNT.  THE USUAL
REGIME OF FALLING TEMPS...LOW CLOUDS AND SCTD FLURRIES WL RESULT FOR
SAT.  SHOULD SEE CLEARING SKIES FOR SAT NIGHT WITH DRY WX FO*R SUN.  MB

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-034>047-066>074-083>087-099>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-271200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
400 PM EST FRI JAN 26 1996

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 1000 PM EST...
...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING AND MOVE TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY SATURDAY
MORNING.  THIS WILL CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
MAINLY TONIGHT.  MOUNTAINOUS LOCATIONS WILL AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30
MILES AN HOUR WITH GUSTS TO 45 MILES AN HOUR.  TRAVEL THROUGH THESE REGIONS
WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
TRAILERS AND RVS.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS CHEROKEE AND CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.  AFTER THAT TIME...
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN RISING SLOWLY.  HOWEVER ICY ACCUMULATIONS
ON ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES WILL EXIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
TRAVEL WILL BE VERY TREACHEROUS ACROSS PARTS OF THESE TWO COUNTIES.
MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH EXTREME CAUTION AS THE FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH
STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING QUITE DANGEROUS.  A SLOW MELTING WILL OCCUR
BY MIDNIGHT.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM YOUR FAVORITE RADIO AND
TELEVISION STATIONS OR YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

MB

NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-086-087-101-102-270245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
442 PM EST FRI JAN 26 1996

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA CANCELLED...
...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING AND MOVE TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY SATURDAY
MORNING.  THIS WILL CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
MAINLY TONIGHT.  MOUNTAINOUS LOCATIONS WILL AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30
MILES AN HOUR WITH GUSTS TO 45 MILES AN HOUR.  TRAVEL THROUGH THESE REGIONS
WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
TRAILERS AND RVS.

THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ENOUGH FOR THE PRECIPITATION TO TURN TO ALL
RAIN. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT SO THE ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM YOUR FAVORITE RADIO AND
TELEVISION STATIONS OR YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

HSA

NCZ060-061-TNZ018-040>047-071>074-086-087-101-102-270245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
442 PM EST FRI JAN 26 1996

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA CANCELLED...
...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING AND MOVE TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY SATURDAY
MORNING.  THIS WILL CREATE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
MAINLY TONIGHT.  MOUNTAINOUS LOCATIONS WILL AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30
MILES AN HOUR WITH GUSTS TO 45 MILES AN HOUR.  TRAVEL THROUGH THESE REGIONS
WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS
TRAILERS AND RVS.

THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ENOUGH FOR THE PRECIPITATION TO TURN TO ALL
RAIN. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT SO THE ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FURTHER STATEMENTS FROM YOUR FAVORITE RADIO AND
TELEVISION STATIONS OR YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

HSA