Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
930 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 1996

KMLB SHOWS PROLIFERATION OF RW/ISOLD TRW OVER COASTAL WATERS WITH
ACTIVITY STRAFING THE COAST OF MARTIN/ST LUCIE COS ATTM.

SHARP ANALYSIS OF THIS MORNING'S SNDNGS FROM TBW/CAP/JAX W/ MODIFIED
AFTNN TEMPS A DEG OR TWO EITHER SIDE OF 90/70 YIELDED CAPES OF
1500-3000 AND LI'S OF -5 TO -8. PWATS OF 1.3 TO 1.6 SO MSTR HAS
DEFINITELY COME UP AS PROGGED. ONE INTERESTING NOTE IS THAT THE 50H
TEMP AT AP WAS -10.7 WITH WBZ OF 9400 (500 FEET LOWER THAN Y'DAY.
WITH ALL THE ACTIVITY OVER TBW/JAX CWA'S YESTERDAY AND DEEPER SRLY
STEERING FLOW...SUSPECT C-BRZ PENETRATION WILL BE SLOWED ALONG EAST
COAST. BIGGEST THREAT FOR STORMS FROM INLAND SECTIONS OF COASTAL COS
TO THE INTERIOR. PARAMETERS COMING TOGETHER FOR SOME SCT STRONG TO
SVR STORMS WITH CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE FOR PULSE-TYPE HAILERS AND
PERHAPS LOCAL WET MICROBURSTS. PSBL COLLISION OF WEST/EAST COAST
C-BRZ/OUTFLOWS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR TODAY. ZONES LOOK GREAT...
ALTHOUGH SHUD WE BECOME OUTLOOKED FOR 15Z SELS UPDATE...I MIGHT
SUGGEST MENTIONING FEW STRONG STORMS PSBL. JUST A THOUGHT.

CRISTALDI

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-081630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1045 AM EDT SAT JUN 8 1996

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...

DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS RETURNED PLENTIFUL MOISTURE TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALLOW A STRONG SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP
AND PUSH SLOWLY INLAND. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG THE
SEA BREEZE AS IT MOVES WEST THROUGH THE COASTAL COUNTIES DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. DURING MID AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL
STORMS WILL FORM AND BECOME NUMEROUS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. BY LATE
AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES
AGAIN...AND WILL LAST INTO THE EVENING.

RELATIVELY COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW SOME STORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...
POSSIBLY PRODUCING HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR HIGHER. HEAVY
RAINS ARE ALSO LIKELY AND MAY LEAD TO TEMPORARILY FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS SUCH AS LOW LYING STREETS...PARKING LOTS...SMALL
STREAMS...AND CULVERTS. FLORIDA'S NUMBER ONE WEATHER THREAT...
FREQUENT AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL POSE A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT TO SAFETY. LIGHTNING FROM STORMS YESTERDAY AFTERNOON KILLED A
PERSON NEAR ST. PETERSBURG...SO RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT
FOR STORMS TODAY...AND MOVE INDOORS AT ONCE SHOULD ONE APPROACH.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SHOWERS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR THE MARTIN
AND ST LUCIE COUNTY COAST TO BETWEEN 25 AND 75 MILES OFFSHORE CAPE
CANAVERAL WILL CONTINUE. MORE STORMS WILL DEVELOP JUST INLAND DURING
THE LATE MORNING...PERHAPS NEAR THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY...AND MOVE
SLOWLY WEST. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL FORM BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON
OVER THE COASTAL AND INLAND COUNTIES...AND THESE STORMS MAY MOVE EAST
TO THE NEAR SHORE COASTAL WATERS AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENINGx. ALL
MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD PLAN ACCORDINGLY AND LISTEN TO SHORT TERM
FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.

CRISTALDI