Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
940 AM EDT WED AUG 14 1996

CURRENTLY...88D INDICATING STORMS OVER THE S COASTAL WATERS AND
STORMS MOVING IN FROM THE GOM. SAT PIX SHOW RELATIVELY CLEAR SKIES
(LOTS OF THIN HIGH CLOUDS) OVER THE AREA. SOUNDINGS AND VAD CONTINUE
TO SHOW W WINDS THROUGH MID AND LOW LVLS. TBW DRIED OUT QUITE A BIT
BUT JAX STILL QUITE MOIST. TEMPS AT 500 -9 AT TBW...-11 AT TLH. VORT
LOBE QUITE OBVIOUS AT MIDLVLS OVER NE GOM MOVG E.

SHORT TERM...STRONG STORMS A GOOD BET TODAY OVER THE FA...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES. STORMS WENT SEVERE YDAY OVER BREVARD
COUNTY (SEE COF OBS) AS BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS OCCURRED OVER THE
COUNTY. WITH STRONGER DYNAMICAL FORCING TODAY...DRIER AIR AT
MIDLVLS...COOLER TEMPS ALOFT AND PLNTY OF INSOLATION...STORMS WILL BE
LESS WIDESPREAD BUT POTENTIALLY MUCH STRONGER.

AS PER COORD W/MIA...STRONG STORMS WILL BE MENTIONED IN ZONES. SEVERE
WILL BE MENTIONED IN ATO.

HODANISH

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-141630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 14 1996

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...

AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHEAST GULF
OF MEXICO...COOL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS...AND A
VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.

LATE THIS MORNING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING OVER WEST
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS VOLUSIA AND
LAKE COUNTIES. INTO THE EARLY AND MID AFTERNOON OTHER
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE
GREATER METROPOLITAN ORLANDO AREA. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BEGIN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST COAST ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
FRONT. BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES AS THE SEABREEZE FRONT INTERACTS
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.

ALL STORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. IN
ADDITION...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR DAMAGING WATERSPOUTS OVER
THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS OF VOLUSIA...BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...ST
LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES.

ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE FLORIDAS NUMBER ONE WEATHER
KILLER...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER IF STORMS APPROACH.

RESIDENTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IF THREATENING
WEATHER APPROACHES. HAM RADIO OPERATORS/SKYWARN PERSONNEL ARE
REQUESTED TO RELAY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

MARINE OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OFF VOLUSIA COUNTY DURING
THE EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...ST LUCIE AND MARTIN COUNTIES
DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON TIME PERIODS.

HODANISH