Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 1996

Flash Flood Warning 94, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

September 12, 1996Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this flash flood warning at Sep 12, 1996, 8:44 AM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 12, 1996, 8:44 AM MDT (14:44 UTC)
Expired
Sep 12, 1996, 12:40 PM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Whole counties

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 1996-09-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 1996-09-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMAF 121445
FFWMAF
NMC015-121840-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
944 AM CDT (844 AM MDT) THU SEP 12 1996

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND TX HAS ISSUED A
FLASH FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1240 PM MDT (140 PM CDT)
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

   ...EDDY COUNTY
 
AT 830 AM...WEATHER SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED
WATER COVERING NUMEROUS ROADS IN THE COUNTY.  SOME ROADS AFFECTED BY
THIS FLOODING ARE COUNTY ROADS 720...408...418...AND 748.  WITH AS
MUCH AS TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL OVERNIGHT...THE GROUND OVER EDDY
COUNTY HAS BECOME SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL RUNOFF INTO
LOW-LYING SECTIONS OF ROAD AND ALREADY-SWOLLEN ARROYOS.  AREA
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS WHILE TRAVELLING THIS MORNING
AND SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLASH FLOODING IS
ENCOUNTERED.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
 
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

&

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 12, 1:31 AM MDT, 7 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 1:31 AM MDT, 7 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION... CORRECTED MAF POP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
204 AM CDT THU SEP 12 1996

NSAT WV IMAGERY DEPICTING TWO SIGNIFICANT S/W... ONE LOCATED IN
CENTRAL NM... WHICH IS EXITING... AND ANOTHER LOCATED IN NW OLD
MEXICO.  THE LATER S/W APPEARS TO BE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST.  HAVE A
FEELING THIS PARTICULAR FEATURE WILL NOT BE HANDLED WELL BY THE
MODELS.  ALSO... APPEARS MOST OF THE CONVECTION WEST OF THE RIO
GRANDE MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PARTICULAR S/W.  IR IMAGERY
SHOWING AN EXTENSIVE CLOUD SHIELD COVERING THE FA AND THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.

MOST UNSTABLE AIR APPEARS TO BE OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FA
TODAY WITH H85 TO H7 LAYER MEAN LAPSE RATES GREATER THAN 8.0
ACCORDING TO NGM.  ETA PAINTS A DIFFERENT PICTURE WITH MOST UNSTABLE
AIR FROM THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN NORTHWARD.  GREATEST UVV REMAIN
OVER MOUNTAINS THROUGH 13/00Z WITH BOTH MODELS AGREEING ON LOCATION.
AM LEANING A LITTLE MORE TOWARDS ETA AS IT DEPICTS A MORE REALISTIC
APPROACH TO POSSIBLE S/W OVER OLD MEXICO SHOWING BEST UPWARD MOTION
EXTENDING FROM THE BIG BEND NORTH INTO PECOS COUNTY AND TERRELL
COUNTIES (I.E. PIVA... PVA AND QVEC CONV).  WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE
OVER FA BELIEVE FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT
ESPECIALLY OVER BIG BEND AREA.  THEREFORE... RECOMMEND CONTINUING
FFA FOR AT LEAST BIG BEND NORTHWARD INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.

MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE GIVEN AMOUNT OF CLOUD
COVER EXPECTED TODAY.  ALSO... IT HAS BEEN DOING VERY WELL WITH THIS
WEATHER PATTERN SO WILL DEVIATED VERY LITTLE IF AT ALL.

H1000 TO H7 LAYER MEAN QUASIGEOSTROPHIC FRONTOGENESIS SHOWING FRONT
REMAINING NORTH AT LEAST THROUGH 36 HOURS MAY BACK DOOR US LATER IN
THE PERIOD AS 98F SHOWING THIS POTENTIAL.

CNM  78/50
MAF  84/30
MRF  72/50
P07  85/30

EARLE

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 1996Every flash flood warning in 1996

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.