Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS Wilmington, OH

FORECAST COORDINATION MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
835 PM EDT WED MAY 15 1996

A LOT HAPPENG ONCE AGAIN AROUND HERE.  RIVERS ARE COMING OUT OF BANKS.
LITTLE MIAMI...GT MIAMI...WHITEWATER...SCIOTO...OH BRUSH CREEK...W FORK
OF WHITEWATER...AND NOW IT APPEARS OHIO RVR AT CINCINNATI IS GOING TO
TOP OUT AROUND 53 FT...1 FT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.  RFC SEEMS TO BE
CONTINUALLY UPDATING RVR FCSTS AS NEW QPF AND RIVER STAGES COME IN.

MANY URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNGS OUT NOW FM SE IN INTO
COUNTIES SURROUNDING OH RVR.  RADAR HAS STRIPE OF 3-5 INCHES OF PCPN
ACCUM TODAY NR OHIO RIVER.  ONLY SAVING GRACE IS THAT IT IS WET ALL
THE WAY UP (1.5 IN PRECIPITABLE WATER) AND NO SVR WX HAPPENING.

FNT JUST S OF CVG AND MOVG AT TORTOISE PACE.  CONSTANT CONVECTION
JUST N OF FNT IS HOLDG IT UP AND STILL HAVE CELLS TO IND MOVG SE
BUT ACTIVITY MORE SCT THAN A FEW HRS AGO.

INTERESTG CIRCULATION MOVG INTO WC IN...THE REMNANTS OF CONVECTION
OVER IA.  THIS MAY INTERACT WITH FNT NR S OH LTR TNGT.  IN ANY
EVENT...WL GO HARD ON POPS TNGT OVER S AND C AND LESS IN N.  THIS
IS SIMILAR TO FCST.  WL KEEP FLOOD WATCH ALIVE TO DAY AND CMH BUT
NOT FARTHER N SINCE FNT SLOW AND MAY NOT GET TO CMH UNTIL NR SUNRISE.

CANNOT GET PICKY WITH REST OF FCST.  REMNANTS OF MCS'S...UNCERTAINTY
OF FRONTAL POSITION ACROSS OH...SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE ATM...AND PLENTY OF
MOISTURE WL MAKE TIMING FUTILE.  IT LOOKS MILD AND UNSETTLED ENOUGH
THAT FLOODING WOES 8WL CONTINUE AND THERE COULD BE SOME SEVERE IN WRM
SECTOR ON THU AFT.

SANDLER