Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 PM CDT THU MAY 23 1996

18Z SFC MAP SHOWS NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM ABOUT STJ TO JUST W OF P28
AND THEN INTO LOW OVR ERN NM.  MDLS TEND TO WANT TO TAKE THIS FRONT S A
BIT INTO NRN OK...BUT WAVE SEEMS TO BE FORMING ON FRONT NR HUT.  THIS WAVE
KEEPING ERN SECTIONS OF FNT FROM MOVG SOUTH.  GOOD CONVERGENCE ALONG
FRONT...BUT WK CAP STILL IN PLACE.  CAP INITIALLY WKND BY MID LVL
CONVECTION AND VIRGA ASSOCD WITH SHRTWV MOVG THRU ERN KS THIS MRNG AND
EARLY THIS AFTN.  XPCT HTG AND MSTR CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT TO BE ENOUGH
TO BREAK THIS CAP THIS AFTN AND EVENING.  CURRENT WW OVR SE KS AND
MISSOURI MAY BE DROPPED FOR KS PART AS SOON AS SHRTWV EXITS STATE.  NEXT
SHORTWAVE KICKING OUT OF NM AND THE PANHANDLES WILL BE NEXT THREAT LATE
TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  THIS SHRTWV PROGGED TO MOV OUT ACRS NRN KS TNGT.
FRONT TO BE TILTED NORTHWARD QUITE A BIT OVRNGT WITH LLJ SETTING UP NICELY
TO FUEL MCS ALONG IT IN AREA OF ISENTROPIC UPLIFT.  BEST LIFT FROM LLJ MAY
BE IN AREA FROM P28 TO GBD.  THICKNESS TENDS TO INDICATE THAT ANY MCS THAT
FORMS SHOULD MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
TMRW...WILL BUMP POPS FOR AFTN TSTMS DUET TO COOLER 700 TEMPS XPCTD AND
FRONTAL BNDRY STILL IN AREA.

FOR TEMPS...HAVE GONE WITH PERSISTANCE.

RSL 064/090 44   SLN 067/090 54
ICT 069/090 44   HUT 068/090 44
CNU 066/090 44

MATT

KSZ071-072-095-096-099-100-250530-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
643 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 427 IN EFFECT FOR WOODSON AND
ALLEN COUNTIES UNTIL 1 AM..

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 423 ALLOWED TO EXPIRE IN
WILSON...NEOSHO...MONTGOMERY...AND LABETTE COUNTIES...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WOODSON AND ALLEN
COUNTIES UNTIL 1 AM SATURDAY MORNING. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM FOR WILSON...NEOSHO...MONTGOMERY AND
LABETTE COUNTIES HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALLEN AND
WOODSON COUNTIES THIS EVENING...AS STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS INTERCEPT
A STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP IN THE IOLA AND YATES CENTER AREAS THIS
EVENING. WITH PLENTY OF WARM...MOIST AIR AVAILABLE TO THE STORMS...
THEY MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND
TORRENTIAL RAINS.

DAVIS

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>069-082-083-091-250745-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
854 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 1996

...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 430 IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH 3 AM...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH 3 AM. THIS REPLACES THE
TORNADO WATCH WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM.

SOME CITIES INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE WICHITA...GREAT BEND...
EL DORADO...RUSSELL...SALINA...MCPHERSON...AND HUTCHINSON.

A STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH CENTRAL
KANSAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ACROSS KANSAS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOS.

PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REVIEW TORNADO SAFETY RULES
NOW...AND MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES.

DAVIS