Flash Flood Warning 38, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
250 PM EDT WED SEP 4 1996

CAE/RAH/FFC: NO WATCHES NEEDED ATTM...BUT WITH FCST QPF ON HIGH SIDE
             AS EARLY AS 12Z THU PER HMDATR...THINGS NEEDED TO BE
             WATCHED CAREFULLY TONIGHT.  5 PM NHC PKG WILL LIKELY
             ALLOW US TO FOCUS EVEN FUTHER FOR AREAS THU PM/FRI.

DOWNWARD MOTION IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING'S S/W MOVING NORTHEAST
INTO NRTH CENT NC PROVIDING THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM WITH
IMPRESSIVE VSBYS & PRIMARILY FLAT CU ATTM.  KGSP 88D INDICATING
MAINLY UPSLOPE SHRA IN FAR WRN NC WITH LOW LVL ELY FLOW...EXPECT
CU TO CONT TO BUILD REST OF AFTERNOON ACRS CWA WITH NOT MUCH
FOCUSING MECH OUTSIDE OF ANY HIDDEN MESO BNDRYS.

FOR TONIGHT...WITH NEXT S/W ROTATING AROUND UPPER LOW TO OUR SW...
MAY SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF NOCTURNAL TSTMS & WITH HIGH PW'S IN PLACE
HEAVY RAIN A POSSIBILITY.  RNFL AMTS THIS AM WERE LOCALLY HEAVY
SO POTENTIAL PROBS ON HORIZON NOT JUST IF THINGS MATERIALIZE TONIGHT
...BUT MORE OBVIOUSLY WITH FRAN THU EVE INTO FRI.

AS PER LATEST NHC TRACK...TRAJECTORY PUTS NORTHEASTERN SXNS OF CWA
UNDER THE GREATEST THREAT...ROUGHLY NORTHEAST OF A CHESTER-GAFFNEY-
MORGANTON LINE.  INITIAL RAIN BANDS MAY APPROACH FA BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH TIMING ON ONSET OF TROP STM FORCE WINDS POSS AS
EARLY AS LATE AFT TOMORROW FAR SE.

AS FAR AS RECOMMENDED WATCHES...FEEL THAT FF IS PRIMARY CONCERN
FOR THIS EVENT ALTHOUGH HIGH WIND THREAT IS MOST PREVALENT
SRN NC PIED & ADJACENT CNTYS UPSTATE SC.

GSP  67/80/65/77  4577
AVL  63/76/63/74  4577
CLT  69/81/67/78  4588

CSH