Severe Thunderstorm Warning 204, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
235 PM MDT (335 PM CDT) THU JUL 25 1996

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SPREADING OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE OVER WY/CO. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS LLJ EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO SPREAD FURTHER
EAST TONIGHT AS SFC RIDGE HAS SHIFTED OUT OF THE AREA. SHARP
MODIFIED SOUNDINGS FROM DDC AND LBF SUGGEST CAPES IN THE 2500 TO
3000 RANGE OVER FA THUS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS.

SATELLITE DATA SHOWS ANOTHER WEAK WAVE FOLLOWING THIS FIRST WAVE
WHICH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. MODELS IMPLY MOST ACTIVITY WILL
SHIFT SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST OF THE REGION AS RIDGE SHIFTS A LITTLE
CLOSER. DO NOT DISCOUNT CHANCES FOR WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT WILL LEAVE OUT OF FOURTH
PERIOD FOR NOW.

FWC/FAN NUMBERS HAVE BEEN TOO HIGH ON OVERNIGHT LOWS...AND CLOSE
OR TOO LOW ON HIGHS AS OF LATE...AND APPEARS THIS TREND TO CONTINUE
UNTIL SATURDAY.

GLD 057/084/060/086 733  HLC 059/085/062/087 733
CBK 058/085/061/086 733  MCK 057/082/060/084 733
TRB 058/086/060/088 733  ITR 056/082/059/085 733

TURNER

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-260250-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
246 PM MDT (346 PM CDT) THU JUL 25 1996

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...EASTERN
COLORADO...NORTHWEST KANSAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT...1000 PM
CDT...

RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

IN NORTHWEST KANSAS THE WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...CHEYENNE...RAWLINS...DECATUR...SHERMAN...
THOMAS...SHERIDAN...WALLACE...LOGAN...GOVE...GREELEY...AND
WICHITA.

IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...THE WATCH INCLUDES NORTON AND GRAHAM
COUNTIES.

IN EASTERN COLORADO THE WATCH INCLUDES YUMA...KIT CARSON...AND
CHEYENNE COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THE WATCH INCLUDES DUNDY...HITCHCOCK...AND RED
WILLOW COUNTIES.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

HULL

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