Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
217 PM MDT (317 PM CDT) SAT JUN 22 1996

...BIG CHALLENGE IS AMOUNT OF RAIN THIS EVE/TONIGHT...

ETA/NGM MODEL SHOWING WET FCST OVR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
FIRST PERIOD.  FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS ATTM WITH
MOST SFC WNDS NOW S-SE AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S.  BIG TIME MSTR CONV
OVR TRI-STATE AREA THIS AFTN PER ADAPS. DONT EXPECT THIS TO MOVE
MUCH AND WITH ADDITIONAL AFTN HEATING...TSTMS COULD GET GOING EARLY.
ADAPS ALSO SHOWING VRY UNSTABLE AMS WITH CAP ALREADY ERODED.  BOTTOM
LINE...MONSOONAL MSTR CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD TONIGHT WITH
IMPULSE RIDING OUT OF THE ROCKIES.  ETA/NGM GRIDDED DATA FCST HI
THETA-E OVR HI PLAINS WITH STRONG UPWARD VVELS THRU TONIGHT.
ORIENTATION OF MONSOONAL CLDS AND DEEP MSTR FROM THIS MORNINGS
SOUNDINGS POINT TO SOME POSSIBLE HEAVY DOWNPOURS THIS EVE.  TIMING
HAS SHWRS/TSTMS CONTINUING INTO THE LATE NGT HRS...MAINLY OVR
NE PARTS OF CWA.

HGTS BUILD AGAIN SUN/SUN NGT CUTTING OFF MSTR FROM SW AS DRIER AIR WL
SLOWLY WORK ITS WAY IN.  CHC OF FOG/STRATUS SUN NGT AND EARLY MON
MORNING AS ETA CROSS XCTNS SHOW EASTERLY SFC FLOW OVR MOIST GROUND.
THCKNSS PATTERN SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE NXT FEW DAYS.  WITH MORE SUNSHINE
EXPECTED...HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE CLOSE TO NGM MOS.

GLD 061/085/058/087 711    HLC 066/085/061/089 612
CBK 063/086/061/087 711    MCK 064/084/059/086 711
TRB 061/087/059/088 711    ITR 058/084/056/084 711b

KPL

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COZ090>092-KSZ001-002-013-014-027-028-041-042-NEZ079-080-222200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
257 PM MDT (357 PM CDT) SAT JUN 22 1996

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EASTCENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...WESTCENTRAL AND NORTHWEST KANSAS UNTIL 9 PM MDT...10 PM
CDT...

AT 3 PM MDT...4 PM CDT GOODLAND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTCENTRAL COLORADO FROM NEAR YUMA
COLORADO TO KIT CARSON.  THESE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST 20 MPH.
HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF A TORNADO...THE SAFEST PLACE IN A HOME OR
BUSINESS IS AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE.  AVOID
WINDOWS.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO OUTRUN A TORNADO.  CARS ARE EASILY TOSSED
AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS.  IF YOU ARE CAUGHT INB THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING.  IF NO
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...LIE DOWN IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT.

RFF