Tornado Warning 23, NWS Hastings, NE

CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
215 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 1996

QUESTIONS ARE TRW CHCS AND TEMPS TOMR.

VERY IMPRESSIVE SYS MVG SE ACROSS REGION ATT. SEVERAL CIRCULATIONS...
BUT MAIN ONE INTO NC NE. TRWS JUST STARTING TO FIRE IN DPVA OF THIS LO.
ATMOS RATHER UNSTABLE THRU THE AREA AS WELL WITH DWPTS IN MID 60S AND
TEMPS PUSHING 80 WHERE SUN HAS POPPED OUT. COULD GET INTERESTING IN
NEXT HOUR OR TWO SO WILL DO A QUICK DISC.

USED A COMPROMISE OF MDLS IN GENERAL...BUT THK SYS WILL MOVE SLOWER THAN
FCSTS. SYS IN MT NOT PICKED UP AT ALL BY MDLS...BUT DOWNWARN VVS IN
WAKE OF CURRENT SYS SHOULD MAKE THIS A NUL POINT TONIGHT. WOULD LIKE
TO USE A NW TO SE DIVISION FOR ZONES...PROBABLY ABOUT LIKE CURRENT ONE.
WITH SFC TROF JUST TO NW OF LXN/BBW/ONL LINE...THK NW GROUP TO HAVE EVE
TRWS/RWS THEN PC...AND SE GROUP CHC POPS INTO TONIGHT. LOWS IN 50S NW
AND NEAR 60 SE. SHIFTING WINDS.

TOMR...WILL GO WITH FWC/S PESSIMISTIC HIGHS WITH SYS WORKING SLOWLY TO
THE E...AND FLOW DIVING IN FROM DUE NORTH. HIGHS 80/85 NW TO 75/80 SE
WITH MORE CLDS SE.

TOMR NIGHT...P CLDY WITH SAME LOWS AS TONIGHT.

MONDAY...NEXT SYS PROGGED BY AVN TO BE NORTH OF AREA BY EVENING. MAYBE
SOMETHING OVERNIGHT...BUT NORTHING BY 6 PM. PREFER A MORE SLUGGISH
WARMUP AS IT HAS BEEN ALL YEAR. SHAVE 5 DEG F OFF GUIDANCE AND GO 90 TO
95 NW TO NEAR 90 SE.

GRI 059/076 42                    HBR 060/076 53
ODX 056/080 41                    BLT 062/078 63
LXN 054/084 30

GURNEY

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-110500-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1205 PM CDT SAT AUG 10 1996

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND FOR A PART
   OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

SPOTTER ACTION...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SYNOPSIS...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THEY WILL BE CONFINED TO AREA SOUTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND...HASTINGS...
AND PHILLIPSBURG...AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

FURTHER WEST...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO NEAR 80 AND DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE LOW 60S.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG
A SURFACE TROF WHICH EXTENDS FROM VALENTINE TO NORTH PLATTE. SOME OF
THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AS THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE ARE RATHER COLD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD STAY WEST OF THE AREA. THE BEST CHANCES
OF SEEING ANY SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE WEST OF LEXINGTON AND BEAVER
CITY. IF ANY SEVERE WEATHER OCCURS...IT WILL BE VERY ISOLATED IN
NATURE.

GURNEY