Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Hastings, NE

CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
250 AM CST SAT NOV 16 1996

...HIGHLIGHT LOGISTICS MAIN CONCERN TODAY WITH HVY RAIN/CONVECTION ERN
COS AND MIXED BAG TO HVY SNOW WRN COS...

COMPLEX SFC AND UPR AIR PATTERN ERLY THIS AM WITH WDSPRD RAIN/TSTMS
ATTM NRLY COVERING KUEX SCOPE. 3 HRLY PCPN ESTIMATES HIT 1.25 INCH
AREAS FROM YORK TO HEBRON AND WACONDA LAKE. FFG ARE ABOUT A HLF INCH TO
AN INCH ABOVE THAT. MULTIPLE SFC LOWS MOVG ACRS QSTNRY FNT FROM SRN MN
TO NM AS WINDS AT AUH/GRI AND HSI HV VEERED FM NE-ENE. TEMPS NR 32F LXN
TO LWR 30S ERN COS. NO REPORTS OF FZG PCPN WRN COS ATTM.

NO MODEL HANDLING TEMPS WELL...ALTHO AVN PATTERN CLOSEST FOR GUID.
ETA/AVN APPEAR TO HANDLE DEVELOPMENT OF MAJOR SFC LOW OVR OK PANHDL AS
STRONG H3 JET ROTATES AROUND UPR TROF AND FORCES IT INTO NEG TILT.
ABUNDANT WAA OVERRUNNING SFC-H8 FNT THRU TDY WITH THTE RIDGE RUNNING
FROM CNTRL KS TO NE NEB. STRONG ISENT LIFT ON I288-I292 THTA SFC OVER
CWA PLUS STRIP OF H8 THTE ADVECTION CONTINUES THRU 00Z-03Z. ANY WAY YOU
CUT IT...PLENTY OF MOISTURE AVBL FOR DYNX WITH PDS OF RAIN AND TSTMS ERN
HLF TDY HVY RAIN LIKLEY IN SPOTS. TRACK OF SFC LOW AND H8 LOW POINTS TO
COLDEST AIR FM SW NEB-NCNTRL NEB AND GRTST CHC FOR HVY SNOW AFT
CHANGEOVER. VARIOUS THICKNESS PROGS BRING DEEPEST COLD AIR TO WRN COS BY
TAFTN...AND HV COORD WITH OAX FOR WS WARNING THERE. WS WATCH TO BE
EXTENDED TAFTN AND EVE INTO CNTRL COS AS COLD AIR WORKS EWD SLOLY. BLV
HWVR THAT PCPN TO DECLINE AFT MID EVE AS DOWNGLIDE KICKS IN. ONE FLY IN
OINTMENT I HAVE PONDERED. AS NM STORM DEEPENS AND MOVES NEWD THRU BCLN
ZONE...BLV ARCTIC AMS MAY SLIP SEWD SOONER...SIMILAR TO JAN 96 BLIZ #1.
THIS CUD FREEZE WET ROADWAYS QUICKLY AND FURTHER EAST AND TOP OFF WITH
FASTER CHANGEOVER TO BURSTS OF SNOW. TOO ERLY TO CALL ATTM...BUT NEEDS
TO BE WATCHED. SFC-H8 GRAD TIGHTENS AND WL LIKELY SEE VRY STRONG 20-40
MPH WND WRN COS TAFTN.  FWC/FAN TEMPS TOO WARM GIVEN CURRENT COLR
CONDITIONS AND LTL MOVMT OF FNT. WL RUN WITH PERSISTANCE AND MENTION
FALLING ACRS NEB...WRN NC KS COS. PER COORD WITH TOP...WL DROP WSW NC
KS TON AS PCPN WINDS DOWN WITH LTL THREAT FOR HVY SNOW THERE.

GRI 035/025@ +5       HEB 045/027 +6
ODX 031/019 +5       BLT 052/030 +5
LXN 031/019 +5

BREWSTER

NEZ075-061-076-084-082-072-040-062-063-083-047-074-048-041-073-
046-039-085-161830-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1023 AM CST SAT NOV 16 1996

...FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE ROADS TO BECOME SLICK ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL NEBRASKA LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...

RAIN HAD ALREADY BEGUN TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM FULLERTON THROUGH GRAND ISLAND TO KEARNEY. ALL ROADWAYS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE EXTREMELY WET DUE TO THIS
MORNINGS HEAVY RAINFALLS WITH PUDDLES COVERING MOST ROAD SURFACES. AT 10
AM... GRAND ISLAND AND KEARNEY WERE AT 32 DEGREES AND THIS FREEZING LINE
WILL SLOWLY ADVANCE SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON TO INCLUDE MOST
OF INTERSTATE 80 WEST OF AURORA.

ROADWAYS ARE EXTREMELY ICY WEST OF THE KEARNEY AREA IN THE LEXINGTON AND
COZAD AREAS WHERE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS PERSISTING. SNOW IS BEING
REPORTED FURTHER TO THE WEST REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO ONE HALF
MILE IN THE NORTH PLATTE AREA WHERE UP TO 2 INCHES HAS FALLING. PERSONS
WEST OF KEARNEY CAN EXPECT PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SNOW BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

MORTORIST SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING AND PEDESTRIANS SHOULD
AVOID WALKING ON ICY SIDEWALKS. SNOW WILL COVER THE ICY SURFACES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY INCREASING THE DANGER AS MOST PATCHES OF ICE WILL
NOT BE SEEN AND REACTION TIME IS DIMINISHED. MONITOR THE LASTEST WEATHER
REPORTS AS THE TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BECOME EXTEMELY DANGEROUS THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.

PURDY

NEZ075-061-076-084-082-072-040-062-063-083-047-074-048-041-073-
046-039-085-161830-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1023 AM CST SAT NOV 16 1996

...FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE ROADS TO BECOME SLICK ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL NEBRASKA LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...

RAIN HAD ALREADY BEGUN TO CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM FULLERTON THROUGH GRAND ISLAND TO KEARNEY. ALL ROADWAYS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA ARE EXTREMELY WET DUE TO THIS
MORNINGS HEAVY RAINFALLS WITH PUDDLES COVERING MOST ROAD SURFACES. AT 10
AM... GRAND ISLAND AND KEARNEY WERE AT 32 DEGREES AND THIS FREEZING LINE
WILL SLOWLY ADVANCE SOUTHEAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON TO INCLUDE MOST
OF INTERSTATE 80 WEST OF AURORA.

ROADWAYS ARE EXTREMELY ICY WEST OF THE KEARNEY AREA IN THE LEXINGTON AND
COZAD AREAS WHERE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS PERSISTING. SNOW IS BEING
REPORTED FURTHER TO THE WEST REDUCING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO ONE HALF
MILE IN THE NORTH PLATTE AREA WHERE UP TO 2 INCHES HAS FALLING. PERSONS
WEST OF KEARNEY CAN EXPECT PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SNOW BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

MORTORIST SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN DRIVING AND PEDESTRIANS SHOULD
AVOID WALKING ON ICY SIDEWALKS. SNOW WILL COVER THE ICY SURFACES
THROUGHOUT THE DAY INCREASING THE DANGER AS MOST PATCHES OF ICE WILL
NOT BE SEEN AND REACTION TIME IS DIMINISHED. MONITOR THE LASTEST WEATHER
REPORTS AS THE TRAVEL IS LIKELY TO BE<COME EXTEMELY DANGEROUS THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.

PURDY