Tornado Warning 54, NWS Fort Worth, TX

TXZ091>097-102>112-117>126-131>138-143>153-156>167-174-175-211600-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 AM CDT MON OCT 21 1996

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAY OVER THAT
PART OF NORTH TEXAS GENERALLY EAST OF A BOWIE TO STEPHENVILLE TO
LAMPASAS LINE.   TONIGHT..THE MODERATE RISK SHIFTS TO THAT PART OF
NORTH TEXAS GENERALLY EAST OF A PARIS TO ATHENS TO CENTERVILLE LINE.
THE RISK AREA INCLUDES THE DALLAS FORT WORTH METROPLEX AND CITIES OF
SHERMAN...WACO...TYLER...LONGVIEW....PALESTINE AND LUFKIN.  SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES.

WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR HAS SETTLED OVER THE RISK AREA.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THUNDERSTORMS IN OKLAHOMA HAVE MOVED INTO THE
TEXAS RED RIVER COUNTIES.  A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST
PART OF NORTH TEXAS...FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY A STRONGER AND MORE INTENSE
COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY IN THE PANHANDLE.  ALOFT...A SERIES OF UPPER
AIR DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS WEST AND NORTH TEXAS IN A BROAD
UPPER AIR TROUGH THAT HAS ESTABLISHED ITSELF OVER THE ROCKIES.  ADDED
TO THESE FEATURES WILL BE DAYTIME HEATING WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING
INTO THE 80S AND A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND PROFILE FOR THE FORMATION
OF SUPERCELLS.

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FIRST COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY. THE FRONTS
SHOULD MERGE INTO A SINGLE FRONT NEAR A PARIS TO ATHENS TO
CENTERVILLE LINE BY SUNSET AND MOVE TO NEAR THE TEXAS...LOUISIANA
BORDER BY LATE TONIGHT.  WITH PASSAGE OF THE STRONGER COLD FRONT THE
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD END.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.  THOSE
IN THE CENTRAL THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS AND IN THE RED RIVER COUNTIES
SHOULD EXPECT ACTIVATION ANYTIME TODAY.  THOSE OVER THE EASTERN THIRD
OF NORTH TEXAS` SHOULD EXPECT ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.