Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Kansas City, MO

NORTHWEST MISSOURI FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
337 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 1996

SAGG SFC BNDRY ALG WITH MID/UPR LOW RIDING THRU MEAN RDG ACRS CNTRL
PLAINS TO FINALLY PROVIDE SOME RELIEF FM HEAT ALG WITH CHC OF PCP
ACRS CWA.  CNVTVN FIRG AND TRAING THIS AFTN VCNTY OF FNT FM SRN NEB
TO SRN IA INTO NE MO.  TRW IN CWA THIS AFTN LIMITED TO IRK AREA VCNTY
OF BNDRY ALG WITH COOLR MID LEVEL TEMPS WHILE REST OF CWA RMNS CAPPED.

MODELS SAG BNDRY SWD THRU ALL BUT XTRM SW PART OF CWA OVRNGHT...THEN
QSTNRY BFR LIFTG NE AS WRMFNT ON SUN.  UPR SYS PROGGED TO DRIFT SLOLY
EWD INTO ERN KS ON SAT...THEN THRU MO SAT NGT INTO SUN.  MAIN CONCERN
WL BE HVY RAIN WITH WK WND FIELDS IN TROPICAL AMS TNGT INTO SAT.

PER DISCUSSIONS WITH ADJACENT WSFOS...WL HOLD OFF ON FFA IN NW MO TNGT
AS FFG IN THE 4-4.5 RNG BUT MENTION HVY RN LKLY.  WL KEEP POPS IN HI
SCT TO LKLY CATEGORY OVR ENTIRE CWA THRU SAT...THEN GRADUALLY DCR INTO
SUN.  FWC POPS OK...TEMPS A LTL LOW.

MCI TB 74/88 72/90 73 4753

DJV

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