Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Kansas City, MO

NORTHWEST MISSOURI FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PLEASANT HILL/KANSAS CITY MO
245 PM CDT WED JUN 5 1996

CONVECTION AGAIN MAIN CONCERN. TRW DVLPNG ALG SEWD MVG OUTFLO BNDRY FM
NCNTRL KS TO NWRN MO. LATEST VSBY STLT ALSO SHOWS ANOTHER BNDRY
STRETCHING FM EAST OF KC SE INTO LAKE OF OZARKS. AIRMASS AHD OF
BOUNDARY VERY UNSTABLE WITH LIS -8 TO -10 WITH CAPES 3000-4000 J/KG.
XPCT TRW TO CONTINUE DVLP SE ALONG BOUNDARIES WITH POTENTIAL OF SVR.
BOUNDARIES WL LIKELY BECOME NRLY STNRY WEST TO EAST ACR CENTRAL MO TNGT
AS SFC LO AND 70 KT H3 SPEED MAX ENTER REGION TNGT. INITIALLY XPCT
EXTENSIVE CONVECTION ALONG BOUNDARIES IN GREATEST SMC EARLY TONIGHT WITH
RW/TRW NORTH OF BNDARY IN STG THETAE ADV. AREAS ALG AND NORTH OF
BOUNDARY WL LIKELY SEE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 1-3 INCHES PSBL ACR MOST OF
CWA. RAINFALL MAY EXCEED FFG...SO WOULD LIKE FFA FOR TNGT ACR CWA.

HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO XPCTD LATER TNGT AS XPCT MCS TO DVLP AHD OF FNT TO
MOVE ACR NWRN AND WNCTRL MO AFT MIDN. PRECIP TO END IN WRN MO EARLY AM
AND BY NOON ACR NCNTRL AND CNTRL MO. GUID TEMPS LOOK OK.

MCI 64/78 83
DB
DJV

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