Severe Thunderstorm Warning 176, NWS Dodge City, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
329 AM CDT THU JUN 6 1996

FCST CHALLENGE TODAY WILL BE PRECIP CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPS.

08Z SATELLITE AND RADAR CONTINUE TO SHOW PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND EVEN SOME
SCATTERED RW/TRW OVER EASTERN 2/3 OF CWA.  THIS IS ASSOC WITH A S/W
PULLING OUT OF EXTREME WESTERN KS AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE STATE
FARTHER EAST.

AM LOOKING FOR FROPA AROUND SUNRISE OR SHORTLY AFTER IN GCK AND DDC
BRINGING COOLER NORTH WINDS TO REGION.  ADAP INDICATING DECENT PRES
RISES WELL BEHIND FRONT...SO HAVE NO DOUBT TODAY TO BE BREEZY.

THE PRECIP MENTIONED ABOVE MAY VERY WELL END BY DAYBREAK...HOWEVER LOOK
FOR RW/TRW TO BEGIN AGAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF STATE AND EXPAND
ACROSS CWA BY NOON OR EARLY AFTERNOON.  DON/T BELIEVE THIS TO BE A
WIDESPREAD EVENT...ACTUALLY FAR FROM IT.  SHOULD ONLY BE SOME
INSTABILITY CONVECTION TODAY.

PROGS INDICATE CYCLONIC FLOW AND FALLING HEIGHTS DEVELOPING OVER
WESTERN HIGH PLAINS ATTM.  THIS FLOW TO DEEPEN AS SYSTEM OVER MID-UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STRENGTHENS. WITH COLDER MID-LEVEL AIR MOVING OVER
REGION AND ADEQUATE AMOUNTS OF SFC MOISTURE...SEE NO REASON SOME
POP-CORN TYPE INSTABILITY RW/TRW WILL DEVELOP FROM NW TO SE OVER CWA.
ADDITIONALLY...PVA INC OVR CWA THIS AM...HOWEVER NVA TO SET IN AROUND
00Z OVER ALL BE EXTREME NORTH AND EAST...SO WILL KEEP PRECIP CHCS OUT
OF ZFP FOR THIS EVENING EXCEPT FOR NORTH AND EAST CTYS.  TIME SECTIONS
ALSO HINT AT DOWNWARD MOTION BEGINNING ARND 00Z VCNTY DDC.

HAVE UNDERCUT FWC GUID A LOT AND GENERALLY FOLLOWED FAN.  TODAY TO BE
MUCH COOLER THAN YESTERDAY WITH PLENTY OF CAA GOING ON.

FRIDAY TO BE COOL...RELATIVELY SPEAKING...AS WELL.  CONT CYCLONIC FLOW
AND NORTH WINDS WILL MAKE IT SEEM LIKE EARLY MAY AROUND HERE.  SOME OF
THE SAME INSTABILITY SHOWERS WOULDN/T BE OUT OF THE QUESTION
FRIDAY...BUT UPPER LEVELS NOT NEARLY AS CONDUCIVE TO DEVELOPMENT.

DDC  078/050 078/051 084 21-
GCK  078/049 079/050 082 2--
EHA  081/049 082/050 083 2--
LBL  080/050 082/051 082 2--
HYS  076/047 076/049 080 32-
P28  082/054 081/053 083 32-

SEARCY

KSZ030-031-044>046-065-061500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
830 AM CDT THU JUN 6 1996

...TORNADO WATCH FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL KANSAS IS CANCELLED...

THE TORNADO WATCH EARLIER IN EFFECT AROUND HAYS...WAKEENEY...DIGHTON
...NESS CITY...LA CROSSE AND LARNED HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  A BAND OF
SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 40 MILES WIDE EXTENDED FROM GARDEN
CITY TO GREAT BEND AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST.  THE STORMS WERE ALONG
A COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS.

THERE IS NO LONGER A THREAT FOR TORNADOES TO THE NORTH OF THIS FRONT
...SO THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

JOHNSON