Severe Thunderstorm Warning 151, NWS Dodge City, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
315 AM CDT SUN JUN 2 1996

FORECAST CHALLENGE TODAY IS ONGOING WEAK CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MOVING
INTO/THRU CWA ATTM.  MAY ALSO SEE SOME REDEVELOP THIS PM AS HAPPENED
SATURDAY...BUT WON/T MENTION IN PUBLIC PRODUCT ATTM.  CONFIDENCE STILL
LOW.

IN THE SHORT TERM...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH I/M GOING TO HAVE TO KEEP A
SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE ZONE PACKAGE FOR SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY THAT
CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK TROF EMBEDDED
IN THE NW FLOW THAT IS AGAIN SHOWING UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS.  WILL
WORD THE PACKAGE AS TO THE FACT THAT THE ACTIVITY SHOULD END EARLY AS
HAPPENED SATURDAY MORNING.  THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS ELEVATED AND DID
PRODUCE SOME NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN KEARNY COUNTY AROUND 1 AM.

LOOKING OUT A LITTLE LONGER...IT LOOKS AS THOUGH ANOTHER NICE DAY IS IN
STORE FOR THE REGION.  MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS TO RULE
TODAY...ALTHOUGH COULD SEE SOME PESKY CONVECTION AGAIN POP UP THIS PM.
HAVE PUT IN CCF BUT NOT PUBLIC PACKAGE FOR NOW.  THX TO GLD AND AMA FOR
COORDINATION ON THIS.

LATER PERIODS TO REMAIN FAIRLY CALM...WITH SOME UVV/S SHOWING UP IN THE
30-48 HOUR TIME FRAME OVER CWA...HOWEVER MOISTURE TO BE LIMITED SO
WITHOUT ANY STRONG FORCING...WILL CONT WITH DRY FCST.  NGM/AVN SEEM TO
HAVE INIT THE BEST SO HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED.  FOR TEMPS...DIDN/T BUY
INTO FWC COOLING OF TEMPS ON MONDAY SO HAVE FOLLOWED FAN IN LATER
PERIODS.B

DDC UU 080/051 082/053 083 1-0
GCK UU 081/050 083/052 083 1-0
EHA UU 082/050 084/052 084 1-0
LBL UU 081/051 083/053 083 1-0
HYS UU 078/050 078/051 082 1-0
P28 UU 083/054 084/055 085 1-0

SEARCY