Severe Thunderstorm Warning 187, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
145 PM EDT THU AUG 8 1996

...ZONE SUGGESTIONS...
...PIT...NO SIG CHANGES.
...PHL...WUD BE MORE PESSIMISTIC FRI...ESP LOWER SUSQ

...DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION ERUPTING ON SCHEDULE AS HIGH THETA-E AIR AND SFC TROF
APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. ONLY QUESTION IS HOW MUCH CAN
ATMOSPHERE REBOUND IN LIEU OF LEADING SQUALL LINE MOVING EAST
ACROSS NRN ZONES NOW. ADAP SHOWS LI'S AS LOW AS -10 NOSING IN FROM
WEST. MODELS CONTINUE TO PUMP BIG PRECIP WATERS INTO LOCAL AREA AS
SFC FRONT SLIDES EAST. SO FAR SEVERE SIGNATURES HARD TO COME BY
WITH ONLY THE OCNL HIGH VIL. STORMS SHOWING SOME TENDENCY FOR
ROTATION IN PLACES BUT WINDS OFF RADAR REFLECT WEAK ATMOSPHERIC
FLOW.

FFA MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED LATER PENDING LATEST DEVELOPMENTS. WITH
BEST DYNAMICS YET TO COME OVERNIGHT...AND FEATURES MOVING INTO
DECELERATING FLOW THE DANGER IS FOR SLOW MOVING DOWNPOURS TO BEGIN
CAUSING FLOODING PROBLEMS.

DRY AIR SHUD BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST INTO PHL ZONES. WUD KEEP CLOUDY
SHOWERY CONDITIONS OVER ERN ZONES THRU AT LEAST A FRI AM HOURS...
POSSIBLY EVEN MOST OF DAY OVER LOWER SUSQ.

LA CORTE

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