Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS State College, PA

CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
930 AM EDT TUE APR 30 1996

SFC MAP HAS COLD FRONT NEAR A JST-DUJ LINE. MODELS ALL IN
AGREEMENT TAKING FRONT THRU UNV AREA ARND NOON AND THEN INTO THE
SUS VALLEY IN THE EARLY AFTN.

CURRENT KCCX RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF 35-45 DBZ JUST WEST OF UNV
MOVING SLOWLY E. NO REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE BUT IT SHOULD NOT TAKE
MUCH TO MIX 8H 50 KTS WINDS TO SFC...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTN ACROSS
E PA WITH DAYTIME HEATING. 5000 FT VAD WINDS FROM CCX SHOWING
WINDS FROM THE SSW AT 55 KTS. A GRADUALLY VEERING TREND BELOW
5 KFT HAS OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 1-2 HRS.

EXPECT AN INCH OF PRECIP ACROSS LOWER SUS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS I>N SOME AREAS. TALK TO MARFC AND THEY WILL BE PLUGGING
1.00 INCH BASIN AVG'S NXT RUN FOR SUS REGION. SO FAR...THEY DO
NOT SEE ANY PROBLEMS.

FCST...
LOOKS GOOD.

WINTHER

PAZ036-037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-302300-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PENNSYLVANIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1100 AM EDT TUE APR 30 1996

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN KANSAS CITY INDICATES THAT THERE
IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH
OF THE EASTERN HALF OF PENNSYLVANIA. SKYWARN SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY
NEED TO BE ACTIVATED.

A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL SWEEP
EAST ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. WARM HUMID AND
UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE FROM STRONG DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE COLD FRONT S6LIDES EAST THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL ONLY ENHANCE THE HEAVY RAINS
AND STRONG WINDS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

WINTHER

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>05
3-056>059-063>066-302200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1222 PM EDT TUE APR 30 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM WELLSBORO TO JERSEY SHORE
TO CHAMBERSBURG...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE
STATE.  STRONG WINDS AND A GENEROUS SUPPLY OF MOISTURE POSE A
THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD ALSO CAUSE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN LOW
AREAS OR AREAS WITH A HISTORY OF DRAINAGE PROBLEMS.

REMEMBER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS A THREAT OF DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORMS EXIST IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.

DUNHAM