Tornado Warning 7, NWS Amarillo, TX

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
312 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 1996

STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE N OF AMA HAS BEEN THE FOCUSING
MECHANISM FOR SVR WX THIS AFTERNOON IN REGION OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES
ACRS THE NRN TX PNHDL.  ATMOSPHERE CONTS TO DESTABILIZE WITH LI/S NOW
IN THE -7 TO -10 RANGE ACRS THE ERN HALF OF THE PNHDLS AND CAPES OVR
3000 J/KG.  EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO HEAD OFF TO THE NE THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.  WEAK SHRTWV CUTTING ACRS THE PNHDLS HAS ALSO
AIDED IN BREAKING THE CAP.  DRYLINE IS NOT PLAYING A ROLE THIS
AFTERNOON AS IT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY ACRS EXTREME W TX.
EXPECT THE DRYLINE TO PLAY MORE OF A ROLE IN THE WEATHER ACRS THE FA
SAT AFTERNOON THRU EARLY SUN AS THE MODELS FCST IT TO SLOWLY MOV E
ACRS THE AREA.   IN ADDITION THE MODELS GO AHEAD AND EJECT THE UPPER
LVL LOW LATE SAT AND INTO SUN WITH ANOTHER SHRTWV PROGGED TO CROSS
SAT AFTERNOON AND EVE.  THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGES FOR ANOTHER ROUND
OF SVR CONVECTION ACRS THE AREA.  AS THE UPR LVL LOW/TROF APPROACHES
THE AREA...EXPECT FURTHER COOLING OF THE MID LVL TEMPS TO FURTHER
INCREASE THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY.  LOOKS LIKE THINGS WL BE DRYING
OUT AFTER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND WITH A RETURN TO WARMER TEMPERATURES.

MODEL TEMPS GUIDANCE CAME IN FAIRLY CLOSE AND HAS GENERALLY BEEN
ACCEPTED.  AS FAR AS POPS GO...WL FOLLOW THE HIGHER FAN GUIDANCE.
THE AFTERNOON HAS TURNED BUSY...SO GOTTA GET MOVIN'.

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

COLTON

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-252130-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1243 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 1996

THERE IS A RISK OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR ALL OF THE
PANHANDLES AND SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR
THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES.

A NEARLY STATIONARY COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM BUFFALO OKLAHOMA
TO BORGER TO JUST SOUTH OF TUCUMCARI. A DRYLINE EXTENDS FROM THE
COLD FRONT...JUST SOUTHWEST OF AMARILLO...TO JUST EAST OF HOBBS
NEW MEXICO. A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE SOUTH OF THE
FRONT AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE WILL TRIGGER WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
MAY QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING VERY STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVEN^ING.

ZEIGLER