Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Amarillo, TX

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1000 AM CDT SUN MAY 26 1996

WE SEEM TO BE IN THE MIDDLE OF A MEDIA BLITZ THIS MORNING.  AS FAR AS
THE FCST IS CONCERNED...I PLAN TO REMOVE THE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FROM
THE WESTERN ZONES AND LEAVE THE AFTERNOON POPS IN THE EAST.
OTHERWISE TEMPS WINDS AND CLOUD COVER LOOKS OK.  WE MAY HAVE TO
ADJUST TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY.

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

*** B(EGINNING WEDNESDAY, MAY 29, THE ISSUANCE TIME FOR THIS PRODUCT
WILL BE MOVED BACK 30 MINUTES FROM THE CURRENT TIME OF 1000 AM CDT.
THIS MEANS THE PRODUCT WILL THEN BE ISSUED NO LATER THAN 1030 AM CDT.

COPLEY

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-270500-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT SUN MAY 26 1996

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING OVER THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA IS NEAR AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 83.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...A STATIONARY FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM SOUTHWEST
OF DALHART TO NORTH OF AMARILLO...TO NORTH OF GAGE OKLAHOMA. A
DRYLINE EXTENDED FROM THE FRONT FROM NEAR AMARILLO...SOUTH TO EAST OF
LUBBOCK. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING...WHICH WILL ALLOW THE FRONT AND
DRYLINE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. BY THIS
EVENING...THE DRYLINE SHOULD BE ALONG THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...WESTERN
OKLAHOMA BORDER. IN ADDITION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
BE MOVING NORTHEAST OVER THE PANHANDLES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING...ALLOWING FOR COOLING ALOFT OVER THE REGION.

TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO
MIDDLE 80S...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S...CREATING UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS. STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE WILL
COMBINE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO INITIATE WIDELY SCATTERED
TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME RAPIDLY SEVERE...AND FORECAST WIND PROFILES
INDICATE SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO PRODUCE A FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EXTREME EASTERN PANHANDLES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

OUTSIDE OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM
WITH THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSING OVER THE REGION.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND VOLUNTEER STORM SPOTTERS
MAY NEED TO BE ACTIVATED THIS AFTERNOON BAND EVENING.

CARUSO