Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1995

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 30, 1995Madison County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 30, 1995, 4:54 PM CDT for Madison County, Arkansas. It was in force for 41 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 30, 1995, 4:54 PM CDT (21:54 UTC)
Expired
Apr 30, 1995, 5:35 PM CDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

County Madison County, AR

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KUMN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1995-04-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 1995-04-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
619 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 302154
SVRTUL
ARC087-302245-
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
454 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL  545 PM CDT
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...
 
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
 
   ...SOUTHERN MADISON COUNTY
 
AT 453 PM WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES
WEST OF ST. PAUL. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 40 MILES AN HOUR.
 
ST. PAUL AND PETTIGREW ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.
 
 
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA.
 
KEEP TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER BULLETINS.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 30, 3:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 3:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

WRMFNT CONTS TO APRCH FCST AREA.  SHUD BE NR RED RVR BY 00Z.  STG
S/W SEEN ON WTR VPR LOOP HEADING TWRD FCST AREA.  MDL GRID DATA
SHOW STG UPR JET AXIS FROM CO TO CTRL OK...WITH MUCH OF FCST AREA
IN LFQ WHERE MDLS INDCT STG UPR DVRGNCE.  MDLS SHOW IDEAL SETUP
FOR WDSPRD CNVCTN ALNG/N OF WRMFNT ORGANIZING INTO COMPLEX LATE
TNGT...MUCH LIKE FRI NGT.  TSTMS ALRDY FIRING RAPIDLY ACRS ECTRL
OK SEEN ON 88D.  STGLY DIFFLUENT THCKNSS PTRN...DVLPG LLJ
CROSSING WRMFNT...AND STG DYNAMIC/ISNTRPC LIFT N OF WRMFNT
SUGGEST BACKBLDG CNVCTN ALNG/N OF WRMFNT...LEADG TO FF THREAT.
DONT KNOW HOW FAR NORTH HVY RNFL WL BE...BUT WITH FFG LOW ACRS
ENTIRE AREA AND MDLS SHOWG POTNTL FOR SGNFNCNT RNFL EVEN ACRS NRN
ZNS...WILL ISSUE FF WATCH FOR ALL ZNS FOR TNGT.  EVNG SHFT CAN
REFINE IF THREAT DCRS FOR SOME ZNS.

WL GO NR 100 POPS RW/TRW FOR TNGT...AND MENT PSBLTY OF HAIL...
GUSTY WINDS...AND HVY RN.  SVR WX PSBL EARLY...WITH THREAT
EVOLVING INTO MORE OF A HVY RNFL/FLD THREAT BY LATE TNGT.
TEMPS TNGT SHUD REMAIN AOA XPCTD EVNG SFC DWPT VALUES.

S/W AXIS MOVES ACRS AREA TMRW MRNG...ENDG PCPN.  WL GO WITH 30
POPS...40 POPS NW AR...FOR MRNG SHWRS...OTHRWS WL KEEP MSTLY
CLDY AS STG 850 MB LOW DVLPS AND MDLS SUGGEST CLDNSS WRAPPING
ARND LOW.  HI TMPS MAY BE SLGTLY BLO MOS DUE TO CLDNSS.

WL GO WITH DCRSG CLDNSS MON NGT.  HI PRES MOVES OVR AREA...AND
H8 TMPS ARE QUITE LOW.  WENT WITH TEMPS A LTL BLO MOS FOR LOWS.
FOR TUE...MAY GET SOME MRNG SUN...BUT MID/HI CLDS SHUD INCRS IN
AFTN IN ADVANCE OF NXT SYS.

PRELIM NUMBERS...

TUL 53/62 42/66 +30-           MLC 59/64 44/68 +30-
FYV 52/61 41/65 +400           FSM 56/65 45/68 +300
BVO 52/62 39/65 930-           IDB 60/70 48/69 +300

PW

.TUL...FFA TNGT OK ZNS 54>79 AND AR ZNS 1/2/10/11/19/29.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 30, 1:12 PM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-029-OKZ054>077-011200-

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FROM EARLY THIS EVENING
THROUGH TONIGHT.  THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40...WITH A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM NEAR DALLAS
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TO A DEVLOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE.  THE WARM FRONT WAS LIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE
TO THE DEVELOPING LOW...AND WILL BE NEAR THE RED RIVER BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.  VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL BE SPREADING INTO
THE MODERATE RISK AREA WITH THE NORTHWARD ADVANCE OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON OFF TO
THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE...AND WILL THEN TRACK TO THE EAST
AND NORTHEAST AFFECTING EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THROUGH TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  THE
HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS IF THEY FALL
ON AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS FRIDAY NIGHT AbND EARLY SATURDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS IN THE RISK
AREA SHOULD MONITOR WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION TONIGHT.
Local storm report, Apr 30, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
238 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....   ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

250 AM     RAMONA                    OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
04/29/95   WASHINGTON

330 AM     SPERRY                    OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/29/95   TULSA
Local storm report, Apr 30, 4:26 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
425 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....   ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

321 PM     I-40 SOUTH OF HITCHITA    OK   1.00 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   MCINTOSH

338 PM     QUINTON                   OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   PITTSBURG

340 PM     3 SW WEBBERS FALLS        OK   0.88 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   MUSKOGEE

345 PM     3 S STIGLER               vOK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   HASKELL

350 PM     ROBBERS CAVE STATE PARK   OK   1.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   LATIMER

355 PM     JUST NORTH OF WILBURTON   OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   LATIMER
Local storm report, Apr 30, 4:32 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
430 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....   ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

405 PM     RED OAK                   OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   LATIMER

405 PM     VIAN                      OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   SEQUOYAH

415 PM     SPIRO                     OK   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   LE FLORE

420 PM     LE FLORE                  OK   1.25 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   LE FLORE
Local storm report, Apr 30, 4:43 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
442 PM CDT SUN APR 30 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....   ST   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

430 PM     VAN BUREN                 AR   0.75 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   CRAWFORD

435 PM     FORT SMITH                AR   0.88 INCH HAIL
04/30/95   SEBASTIAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Sebastian64 min
Apr 30, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 1995Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1995

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.