Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
410 PM CST MON MAR 6 1995

THE COLD FRONT HAS MADE PROGRESS INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SINCE 18Z.  ALSO THE WINDS
HAVE BECOME MORE NORTH THAN EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
KANSAS.  THUS...THE FRONT IS POISED TO PUSH ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND OUT OF FAR PORTIONS OF EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
TUESDAY.  KINX 88-D HAS HAD ECHOES FORMING A LITTLE AHEAD AND TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT OR TO THE NORTHWEST OF A OKC-TUL-JLN
LINE.  THIS IS A SIGN OF THE DYNAMICS THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR
PICS FROM THE NEBRASKA-WYOMING BORDER INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO AT
21Z.  EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING
TUESDAY AS THIS TROUGH INTERACTS WITH THE COLD FRONT.  EXPECT THE
RAIN TO OCCUR RIGHT ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT.  THE ETA AND NGM
SHOW SUFFICIENT LIFT AND MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE
PRECIPITATION TO LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING.  THE 0C LINE ON THE
850 MB PROGS AND THE 540 DM 1000-500 THICKNESS LINES MOVE INTO
THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 12Z AND ACROSS ALL BUT
THE SOUTHEAST CORNER BY 18Z SO SHOULD SEE SOME SNOW ACROSS THE
AREA TOMORROW MORNING.  BY THAT TIME THOUGH THE BEST LIFT WILL
HAVE MOVED EAST AND MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO WANE...SO EXPECT THE
SNOW TO BE LIGHT AND NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH.  TEMPERATURES AT OR
ABOVE FREEZING AND GROUND TEMPERATURES SHOULD KEEP IT FROM
ACCUMULATING MUCH IF IT IS A LITTLE HEAVIER THAN EXPECTED.

WHETHER OR NOT IT SNOWS...TOMORROW WILL BE QUITE COLD WITH BRISK
NORTH WINDS.  TEMPERATURES WOULD JUST FALL DURING THE DAY IF IT
WOULD STAY CLOUDY...BUT GOOD DRYING WORKS INTO THE BVO AND TUL
AREAS AROUND NOON AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.  WITH THE SUN...THERE WILL BE SOME
REBOUND.

AFTER TOMORROW THE WEATHER LOOKS QUIET FOR A DAY OR TWO WITH HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATING THE ACTION.

TUL 032/043 023/047 025 +500
MLC 035/045 025/050 023 +700
BVO 030/040 020/047 025 +300
IDB 045/050 028/052 023 7910

.TUL...NONE.

ABBAS

BEGINNING AT 1000 AM MARCH 21 1995 THIS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS.