Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS Tulsa, OK

EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
845 PM CDT SUN MAY 7 1995

LN OF SVR STORMS JUST ENTERING WESTERN PART OF FA...EXTENDS
WELL SOUTH INTO TX. OUN SOUNDING CONTAINED OVER 2500 J/KG
CAPE AND CLOSE TO 200 M/S/S...AND MESONET OBS SHOW SFC
DEWPT IN LOWER 70S AHEAD OF STORMS IN E OK. WINDS VEER TO
JUST TO THE WEST BEHIND SQUALL LINE WITH DWPTS DROPING INTO UPPER
50S...BUT WINDS OVER WESTERN OK HAVE BACKED TO SOUTH AHEAD OF
REAL DRYLINE STILL OVER EASTERN PART OF TX PH.

EXPECT SQUALL LN TO CONT TO DVLP EASTWARD INTO FA DURING THE
REST OF THE NIGHT AS MID LVL CAA MOVES OVR HIGHER DWPTS.
MOST OF NE OK HAS ALREADY RECEIVED FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN AND ADDITIONAL RAINS CUD CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING PROBLEMS.
MANY RIVERS IN NE OK NEAR OR OVR BANKFULL SO BACKWATER WILL ADD
TO FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.
FLASH FLOOD GUIDENCE ALSO LOW OVR REST OF FA...AND FROM 2 TO 4
INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL ELSEWHERE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
WILL KEEP FFA GOING AS IN PREV FCST.

NO NEW MODEL DATA TO LUK AT...BUT APPEARS LLVL MOIST SHUD SHALLOW OUT
QUICKLY MONDAY MORNING FROM WEST TO EAST. BEST CHC FOR LINGERING
MORNING TRW IN SE OK AND W ARK.

WILL UP POPS TO CLOSE TO 100% OVR ALL OF FA REST OF TONIGHT. PCP SHUD
TAPER AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM W TO E...BUT WILL LEAVE SLGT CHC IN WRN ZNS
FOR MORNING RW AND 40-50% POPS IN EASTERN ZNS ON MONDAY.
/13

.TUL...FFA OKZ054>077-ARZ001-002-010-011-019-0029 TONIGHT.

OKZ054-059-060-064-080100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
715 PM CDT SUN MAY 7 1995

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE BACK INTO PARTS OF
OSAGE...PAWNEE AND CREEK COUNTIES BY 8PM...

AT 710PM...RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
EAST THROUGH KAY...NOBLE AND PAYNE COUNTIES. THE STORMS WERE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH AND MAY CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.
THEY MAY MOVE ~INTO THE BURBANK...FAIRFAX...PAWNEE AND DRUMRIGHT AREAS.
PEOPLE IN THOSE AREAS SHOULD LISTEN FOR FURTHER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS BETWEEN 730PM AND 8PM.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1035 PM CDT SUN MAY 07 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0805 PM    FORAKER                   OK   60 MPH TSTM GUST.
05/07/95   OSAGE

0810 PM    DRUMRIGHT                 OK   0.88 INCH HAIL.
05/07/95   CREEK

0830 PM    5 S PAWHUSKA              OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/07/95   OSAGE                          TREES BLOWN DOWN.

0850r PM    SAND SPRINGS              OK   60 MPH TSTM GUST.
05/07/95   TULSA

0905 PM    TULSA                     OK   70 MPH TSTM GUST
05/07/95   TULSA                          OBSERVED BY NWS METS.