Alert archive / Florida / Flash Flood Warnings in 1995

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

October 8, 1995Lee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this flash flood warning at Oct 8, 1995, 4:23 AM EDT for Lee County, Florida. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 8, 1995, 4:23 AM EDT (08:23 UTC)
Expired
Oct 8, 1995, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Lee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1995-10-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 508 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 1995-10-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -21 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
814 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTBW 080835 COR
FFWTBW
FLC071-082030-

BULLETIN - EBS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING... CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
423 AM EDT SUN OCT 8 1995

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING
EFFECTIVE UNTIL  430 PM EDT
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA

   ...SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY

DUE IN PART TO COPIUS RAINFALL AMOUNTS WHICH HAVE OCCURRED OVER
SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS...FLOODING CONTINUES
TO INUNDATE SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING.

RESIDENTS IN THE MANNAH CHRISTIAN TRAILER PARK IN BONITA SPRINGS
WERE EVACUATED DUE TO FLOODING. AT LEAST 1200 LEE COUNTY RESIDENTS
HAVE BEEN EVAUCUATED THUS FAR DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS.

A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ALONG THE EAST FLORIDA
COAST WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THIS ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN THE ALREADY WIDESPREAD FLOODING
PROBLEM OVER SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY.

MOST DEATHS IN FLOODING OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT
TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY.  NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 8, 3:30 AM EDT, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 3:30 AM EDT, 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY-RUSKIN, FL
330 AM EDT SUN OCT 08 1995

ETA/AVU/AVC CONSISTENT IN MOVG SFC N-S ORIENTED TROF/TROPICAL WV WWD
ACRS FL AND INTO THE ERN GULF IN 48HRS. NGM DEVIATES BY KEEPING SFC
FEATURE OVR FL PENIN DRG PD. RW ALREADY MOVG ACRS ERN FL LIKELY ASSOCD
WITH THIS SFC TROF AND UPR POS VORT ADV AND SEE NO REASON FOR TROF TO
REMAIN QUASI-STNRY. THUS HAVE LESS FAITH IN NGM SOLN. WL FCST HIGHEST
POPS OVR INTERIOR AND SRN ZNS TODAY DUE TO PROXIMITY OF TROF/HIGHEST PW.
ETA/AVN SOLNS MOV MUCH OF UPR FORCING WWD INTO THE ERN GULF AFT 24HRS HWR
MODELS KEEP PW VALUES HIGH DRG PD AND WL THEREFORE NOT LOWER POPS LATER IN
THE PD AS MUCH AS FWC DOES. TEMPS WL LIKELY RMN IN THE UPR 80S/NEAR 90
AS MAX WITH LWR/MID 70S AS MIN. CONSIDERING MODEL SOLN SFC TROF PSNS
AND MOMENTUM THAT WL MIX DOWN EACH DAY...SFC WNDS WL LIKELY BE E/NE
TDA AND SE MON. FLOOD POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY LATER TDA OVR FA DEPENDING
UPON HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS UPSTREAM AND WL DEFER DECISION TO NXT SHIFT.
THANKS MIA/MLB FOR COORD.

@1 LEVY CITRUS SUMTER HERNANDO
@2 PASCO PINELLAS HILLSBOROUGH MANATEE SARASOTA
@3 CHARLOTTE LEE
@4 POLK HARDEE DESOTO HIGHLANDS

TPA TT 88/75 88/75 88 116565

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Florida, 1995Every flash flood warning in 1995

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.