Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
230 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

RECOMMENDATIONS...

WBC...I THINK YOU CD GO MO CLR SAT NIGHT AND GO W/ "LESS HUMID" SUN.

CRW...KEEP CHC TRW/RW THRU EVENING...THE PC OVNT.  PTLY SNY
TMRW...MO CLR TMRW NIGHT...MO SNY SUN.  TEMPS CLOSE TO MOS.  MIGHT
ALSO TALK ABT LESS HUMID SUNDAY WX.

RDU...THREAT OF TSTMS TO CARRY THRU EVE. XPCT MORE SUNSHINE TMRW
ACROS N CNTRL PARTS THAN NW MOUNTAINS.  TEMPS CLOSE TO MOS.

DISCUSSION...

BREAK IN THE HUMIDITY ON THE WAY AS DWPT/COOL FNT CONT TO SLIDE SW
ACRS MID ATLANTIC (AS SEEN ON COOL SAT PICS).  TSTMS WHICH HAVE
DVLPED OVR SE WV/SW VA BRINGING SM MUCH NEEDED PCPN.  THESE STORMS
APPR TO BE FIRING OUT AHD OF SML VORT MAX WHICH IS INITIATING BIGGER
AREA OF TSTMS OVR OHIO.  STILL BELIEVE THAT DVLPMENT IS CLOSELY TIED
TO TIME OF DAY AS WELL AS VORT...TSTMS WHICH DO FORM DURING LATE AFT
SHD CONT TO FEED OFF UNSTBL AIR THRU EVE.  NEW DVLPMENT SHD BE
LIMITED DURING LATER EVENING HOURS AS VORT BEGINS TO WEAKEN.  CAN
SEE WHERE SM MAY LINGER AFT MID...BUT THREAT NOT BIG ENUF TO CARRY IN
ZONES.

TIME SXNS SHOW LOTS OF DRYER AIR ALF DURG LT PDS...AND W/ RIDGE
OVHD...DON/T SEE MUCH I N THE WAY OF CLDS FOR SAT NIGHT.  THINK
RESIDUAL LOW LVL MOISTURE WL SPRING ENUF CU TO JUSTIFY PTLY SNY
TMRW...THEN THIS WL GO BY THE WAYSIDE TMRW NIGHT.  LIKE MORE
OPTIMISTIC APPRCH TO SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY.

DESROSIERS

WVZ045-181910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
139 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER EAST CENTRAL GREENBRIER
COUNTY...

AT 139 PM EDT...WEATHER RADAR INDICATED 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF LEONARD AND RENICK SINCE 1245 PM. THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THIS AREA
THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON PERIOD...BRINGING THE THREAT OF AN
ADDITIONAL INCH TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN.

LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THIS AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY.  THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO
CROSS SAFELY.  VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED
QUICKLY.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DESROSIERS

VAZ010-011-013-014-016>020-022>024-032>034-045-WVZ042>045-182025-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
323 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST
   VIRGINIA  AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 322 PM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHED FROM ROANOKE
VIRGINIA NORTH TO LEWISBURG WEST VIRGINIA. THEY WERE MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

THE STORM WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WIND AT 322 PM
WAS OVER BLACKSBURG IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY. THIS STORM WILL
THROUGH CHRISTIANSBURG BETWEEN 320 TO 340 PM. THIS STORM IS
PRODUCING RAINFALL OF ABOUT /0.75/ TO /1.0 / INCH PER HOUR.

THE THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING GREENBRIER...SUMMERS AND MONROE COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA WERE PRODUCING EVEN MORE RAINFALL. AT
RUPERT IN GREENBRIER COUNTY...2.44 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN AN HOUR
AND 15 MINUTES.

THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

KANE

VAZ010-011-013-014-016>020-022>024-032>034-045-WVZ042>045-182025-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
323 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST
   VIRGINIA  AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 322 PM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS STRETCHED FROM ROANOKE
VIRGINIA NORTH TO LEWISBURG WEST VIRGINIA. THEY WERE MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

THE STORM WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WIND AT 322 PM
WAS OVER BLACKSBURG IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY. THIS STORM WILL
THROUGH CHRISTIANSBURG BETWEEN 320 TO 340 PM. THIS STORM IS
PRODUCING RAINFALL OF ABOUT /0.75/ TO /1.0 / INCH PER HOUR.

THE THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING GREENBRIER...SUMMERS AND MONROE COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA WERE PRODUCING EVEN MORE RAINFALL. AT
RUPERT IN GREENBRIER COUNTY...2.44 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN AN HOUR
AND 15 MINUTES.

THESE STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE SOME BRIEF GUSTY WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

KANE

VAZ017-182150-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
415 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD FLOYD COUNTY...

AT 410 PM WEATHER RADAR IN BLACKSBURG SHOWED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
OVER SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY MOVING SOUTH INTO FLOYD COUNTY.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY AFFECT FLOYD COUNTY THROUGH ABOUT 530 PM.

THOSE IN THE PATH OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS CAN EXPECT TORRENTIAL
RAINS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THESE STORMS PRODUCED
1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN SOME AREAS IN MONTGOMERY COUNTY BETWEEN
230 AND 4 PM. NUMEROUS TREES WERE ALSO STRUCK BY LIGHTNING WITH
SOME OF THESE TREES FALLING ON POWER LINES.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A
STORM APPROACHES.  MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REDUCED
VISIBILITIES DURING DOWNPOURS OF RAIN.  STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

JDS
&

VAZ013-016-017-032-182240-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
437 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

AT 437 PM DOPPLER RADAR AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BLACKSBURG INDICATED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER FLOYD AND
PULASKI COUNTIES...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER CARROLL AND
PATRICK COUNTIES.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE TRACKING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR.  THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...UP TO /2.0/
TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN AN HOUR...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A STORM APPROACHES.  MOTORISTS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES DURING DOWNPOURS OF
RAIN. STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

NOGUEIRA

VAZ013-016-017-032-182240-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
437 PM EDT FRI AUG 18 1995

AT 437 PM DOPPLER RADAR AT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BLACKSBURG INDICATED A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER FLOYD AND
PULASKI COUNTIES...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER CARROLL AND
PATRICK COUNTIES.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE TRACKING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR.  THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...UP TO /2.0/
TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN AN HOUR...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A STORM APPROACHES.  MOTORISTS
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES DURING DOWNPOURS OF
RAIN. STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

NOGUEIRA