Severe Thunderstorm Warning 185, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
245 PM EDT SUN JUL 16 1995

RECOMMENDATIONS...??

DISCUSSION...

HAVE HAD MY BHND IN FNT OF THE RADAR FOR THE PAST HOUR.  ALMOST WENT
W/ A WRNG FOR CRAIG COUNTY...BUT VIL IN STRM SEEMED A LITTLE TO LOW
FOR THIS AIR MASS.  TWO CALLS TO CNTY HAVE UNEARTHED NOTHING...SO 52
VIL IN THAT STRM MAY BE A LTL LOW FOR TDY.  ***CAUTION--MUCH OF THIS
STRM WAS OVR NATNL FOREST SO ANY LARGE HAIL MAY HAVE PLUNKED A DEER
ON THE HEAD***

AT ANY RATE...HAVE LTL TO CONTRIBUTE TO OVERALL DSCN.  NGM SEEMS TO
MV THE FNT QUICKLY THRU MUCH OF FA DURG 36-48 HR TIME FRAME.  THIS
SEEMS TOO FAST FOR ME.  XPCT IT IT TO COME THRU DURG DAY TUE.  ATM
TO RMN UNSTBL THU PD...AND THUS XPCT ANOTHER ROUND OF TSTMS TMRW.

H85 TEMPS COOL SLIGHLY DURG PD...BUT BNDRLY LYR STAYS WM. OVERALL
...PERSISTENCE SHD BE GOOD TIL FNTL BNDRY MAKES IT THRU.

DESROSIERS

WVZ042>045-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-NCZ001>006-
018>020-171200-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1225 PM EDT SUN JUL 16 1995

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
   THIS EVENING...

AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP ENOUGH TO REACH SEVERE LEVELS.  LARGE HAIL
OR DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING.

DESROSIERS