Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
210 PM EDT MON JUN 26 1995

SUGGESTIONS...FAIRLY HIGH POPS THIS EVE...GOING TO A CHC AFT
MIDNIGHT. THEN THNK I WUD GO LIKELY AGAIN TMRW ESP IN THE AFTN.

DISCUSSION...
WORRYING ABOUT RADAR AND SUCH SO HVNT HAD AS MUCH TIME AS I WUD LIKE
TO LK AT THNGS BUT IT'S NOT LKG TOO GD FOR US. GD CLRG COMING INTO
EXTRM SW VA ATTM. ANY SVR TSTMS THAT DEVLOP BACK OVR TENN THIS AFTN
SHUD HV PLENTY OF FUEL TO MOVE ON UP INTO OUR AREA LATER. WL HV TO
WATCH WHAT HAPPENS AND CONSIDER ANOTHER FFA FOR THIS EVE/TNGT.

UPR LOW SHIFTS EVER SO SLOWLY EAST FOR TMRW AND PUSHES A COLD FNT IN
FM THE SW...IN THE MEANTIME BACKDOOR FNT PUSHES DOWN FM THE NE AND
PUTS THE CRUNCH ON RNK CWA. GRIDDS SHOWG VERY IMPRESSIVE M,OISTR
CONV ACRS THE AREA TMRW AS A RESULT. LI'S FM -4 TO -8 TMRW ALSO.
DONT THNK WE WL SEE ANY COOL STABLE AIR MOVE INTO RNK CWA. FWC POPS
LK OUTTA WACK.

JDS

WVZ042>045-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-NCZ001>006-
018>020-271200-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
11:55 AM EDT MON JUN 26 1995

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...EXTREME SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

THE WARM...HUMID AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT HAS BEEN OVER
THE AREA FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THROUGH THIS EVENING.  IN ADDITION...AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA MAY COME CLOSE ENOUGH BY THIS EVENING TO OFFER SOME
MARGINAL WIND SUPPORT AS WELL AS ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE OVER THE WEST.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

WHILE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS OVER THE WEST...THE
MAIN THREAT ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION IS FOR FLASH FLOODING SINCE THE
GROUND IS SATURATED FROM THE RAIN OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS.

WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE THREAT OF
FLASH FLOODING...SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

JDS

WVZ042>045-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-NCZ001>006-
018>020-271200-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
11:55 AM EDT MON JUN 26 1995

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...EXTREME SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

THE WARM...HUMID AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT HAS BEEN OVER
THE AREA FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THROUGH THIS EVENING.  IN ADDITION...AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA MAY COME CLOSE ENOUGH BY THIS EVENING TO OFFER SOME
MARGINAL WIND SUPPORT AS WELL AS ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE OVER THE WEST.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

WHILE THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS OVER THE WEST...THE
MAIN THREAT ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION IS FOR FLASH FLOODING SINCE THE
GROUND IS SATURATED FROM THE RAIN OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS.

WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE THREAT OF
FLASH FLOODING...SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION HIS POSSIBLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

JDS