Severe Thunderstorm Warning 581, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
420 AM CDT THU JUN 8 1995

SVR WX ONCE AGAIN IN PROGRESS ACROSS THE SRN ZNS THIS MRNING. ONCE AGAIN
FOR THE WHO KNOWS HOW MANY NUMBER OF DAYS IN A ROW THE FA IS IN A AREA
OF RISK FOR SVR STMS. LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FOR CNTRL AND
SRN SECTIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ALL MODELS HAVE THE FRONT
INTO THE SERN PART OF THE AREA BY TONIGHT BUT MOISTURE IS IN NO HURRY TO
LEAVE AND STILL WILL BE SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD TO DEAL WITH. WILL CONT TO BE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS
ANYWAY AND WITH CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS THE REST OF FA WITH FFG LOW ACROSS
ENTIRE AREA WILL PUT ALL OF FA UNDER FFA FOR TODAY. FRONT EXITS THE
STATE EARLY SUNDAY AND OTHER THAN SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS RIDING UP AND OVER THE FRONT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
SUNDAY SHOULD START TO DRY OUT EVERYWHERE BUT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WHERE THEY WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE FRONT BY
THE AFTERNOON. THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS AS IF THINGS WILL WARM
UP AND DRY OUT WITH A RETURN TO MORE SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS.

FCSTID =  30
OKC   80  60  77  57 /  60  70  30  10
HBR   80  57  78  54 /  60  70  30  10
SPS   88  65  80  60 /  50  70  40  20
GAG   75  52  77  48 /  40  40  20  10
PNC   75  55  76  53 /  40  50  20  10
DUA   87  68  80  5\8 /  70  70  40  20

.OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY ZONES 4>53
.TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY ZONES 83>90

OKZ004>053-TX083>090-101730-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
630 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 1995

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GAGE
TO ENID TO STILLWATER. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL REMAIN
MODERATELY UNSTABLE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LARGE AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL
FURTHER DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. ALSO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE EXTENDING FROM NEAR STILLWATER TO JUST NORTH
OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA TO NEAR MANGUM WILL LIKELY BE A
FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ALSO SEVERAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AROUND THE AREA DUE TO THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WILL INTERACT WITH THE COLD FRONT TO ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A THREAT WITH MANY OF THE STORMS AND ADDITIONAL
FLOODING WILL BE A PROBLEM IN SOME AREAS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THREAT
WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS...ALONG AND NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT.

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SC

OKZ004>053-TX083>090-101730-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
630 AM CDT SAT JUN 10 1995

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GAGE
TO ENID TO STILLWATER. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS WILL REMAIN
MODERATELY UNSTABLE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LARGE AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL
FURTHER DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. ALSO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE EXTENDING FROM NEAR STILLWATER TO JUST NORTH
OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA TO NEAR MANGUM WILL LIKELY BE A
FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ALSO SEVERAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AROUND THE AREA DUE TO THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WILL INTERACT WITH THE COLD FRONT TO ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES ACROSS
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A THREAT WITH MANY OF THE STORMS AND ADDITIONAL
FLOODING WILL BE A PROBLEM IN SOME AREAS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL THREAT
WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
NORTH TEXAS...ALONG AND NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT.

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SC