Severe Thunderstorm Warning 164, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
300 PM CDT WED APR 26 1995

SFC WV ALG CDFNT NOW MOVG NEWD INTO KS SO FNT MAKING GUD PROGRESS. LTST
MESONET PLOT SHOWS BNDRY FM NR PNC-PWA-JUST E FSI. WNDS JUST AHD OF FNT
ARE SWLY...BUT EXPCT S WNDS TO CONT OVR THE SE WHICH WL ENHANCE CNVGC.
18Z OUN RAOB SHOWS STOUT CAP...BUT FNTL CNVGC AND STG LIFT WITH WV SHUD
ALLOW AT LEAST A FEW TRW ALG CDFNT. WL KEEP POPS IN THE CHC CATEGORY
ALG/AHD OF FNT.  EXTNSV LO CLDS BEHIND FNT SEEM TO BE ERODING FM THE
W...SO EXPCT SKIES TO CLEAR OUT LT TNGT AS DRYER LO LVL AIR MOVES IN. IT
SEEMS STRANGE TO FCST LO CLDS BREAKING UP AT 05Z...BUT WITH DRY ADVCTN
AND NO RESIDUAL GROUND MSTR...THIS SEEMS RSNBL. WNDS WL CONT VRY STG
THRU 05Z BEHING FNT AND WL CONT WITH WND ADVSYS THRU MIDNGT.

FNT WL MOVE OUT OF OK BY 12Z GIVING US FAIR WX ON THU AS RDG MOVES IN.
MSTR WL NOT BE PUSHED VRY FAR S INTO TX...SO IT WL BE LURKING. ALL MDLS
SHOW STG WAA/VERT MOTION INTO WRN HLF OF FA BY 12Z FRI AND MSTR SHUD
COME ON BACK.  WL INCLUDE POPS THU NGT IN THE W AND CONT THEM THRU SAT
AS THE NEXT UPR SYS/CDFNT MOVES THRU.   ..04..

GAG 35/62/45/70 1024    PNC 40/65/49/71 1013    HBR 42/65/48/72 1024"
SPS 45/69/50/78 1024    OKC 43/63/50/70 2013    DUA 48/68/50/75 4112

.OKC...WND ADVY TIL 05Z ZNS 004>053.
.TX...WND ADVY TIL 05Z ZNS 083>090.

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OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-262300-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
320 PM CDT WED APR 26 1995

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT HAS SHIFTED EAST IN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM CUSHING TO SHAWNEE TO PAULS
VALLEY TO BELLEVUE TEXAS IN CLAY COUNTY.

A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. ON THE
MID AFTERNOON WEATHER MAP THE FRONT EXTENDED FROM JUST EAST OF PONCA
CITY TO JUST WEST OF STILLWATER...ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA TO JUST WEST OF DUNCAN AND JUST EAST OF WICHITA
FALLS TEXAS.

ADEQUATE MOISTURE RIS IN PLACE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HOWEVER LOW
LEVEL WIND AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE HAS BEEN WEAK.  BY THE TIME
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OCCURS LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THE FRONT SHOULD
BE EAST OF THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA.

DM