Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA
345 PM CDT WED APR 19 1995

SVR WX ALREADY UNDERWAY IN SRN PTN OF FA. FIRST ROUND OF CONVECTION
WEAKENED AS IT MOVED INTO CNTRL ZNS...DUE TO PRESENCE OF 700 +5 DEG
CAP. HOWEVER...PRESENT CONVECTION ALONG WITH WARM FRONT NR RED RIVER
CONTG NWD MAY HAVE ERODED CAP ENOUGH TO GET SVR STORMS OVR MOST
OF AREA. N TX ZNS HAVE HAD LITTLE TROUBLE REACHING SVR LIMITS WITH
BETTER UVVS...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN THE AREA. AS SFC LOW OVR W TX
TRACKS ACRS AREA TONIGHT...EXPECT TO SEE STG/SVR STORMS MUCH OF THE
NIGHT. WL INCLUDE SOME SVR IN FCST.

MODELS SHOW THAT MOST OF THE AREA WILL BECOME DRY SLOTTED TOMORROW AS LO
MOVS ACRS KS. EXPECT TO SEE SOME WRAP-AROUND CLDS OVR NRN ZNS FOR MUCH
OF THURS...WITH PC SKIES OVR AREA TOMORROW NIGHT AND FRIDAY AM. BY FRI
PM/SAT AM...ETA DEPICTS LOW OVR KS COMBINING W/ SW TX AS A CDFNT WHICH
MOVES ACRS FA. MRF BLENDS WELL WITH ETA/NGM FROPA...WITH HI BUILDING
IN   FOR REST OF WKEND THRU MON.

WL RAISE MOS TEMPS FOR TONIGHT WITH WARM FNT MOVG OVR AREA...AND WENT A
CAT BLO MOS ON HIGHS. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMEST TO 3RD AND 4TH PD.

FCSTID=17
HBR   52  73  45  76 / 60  20  0   10
OKC   54  71  46  76 / 50  20  0   0
SPS   52  75  47  78 / 70  20  0   0
GAG   48  65  42  68 / 40  30  0   10
PNC   53  69  45  68 / 40  20  0   10
DUA   56  75  50  77 / 70  20  0   0

.OKC...TORNADO WATCH ZNS 037-039-044>047-050>052.
.TX...TORNADO WATCH ZNS 083>090.

OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-192100-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
1230 PM CDT WED APR 19 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. THE
MODERATE RISK AREA IS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ALTUS TO HOLDENVILLE.
OTHERWISE...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ELK
CITY TO PONCA CITY.

A WARM FRONT LOCATED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
SLOWLY NORTH TO A POSITION NEAR THE RED RIVER BY SUNSET. MEANWHILE...
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ALLOWING THE DRYLINE TO MOVE EASTWARD FROM WEST TEXAS.
THESE FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...AND AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN THE MODERATE RISK
AREA.

EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DA

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
335 PM CDT WED APR 19 1995

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....   STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

110 PM     SE SIDE OF WICHITA FALLS  TX     3/4 INCH HAIL
04/19/95   WICHITA

115 PM     2.5 SW DEAN               TX     QUARTER SIZE HAIL
04/19/95   CLAY

120 PM     2 NE SCOTLAND             TX     3/4 INCH HAIL
04/19/95   ARCHER

125 PM     CHARLIE                   TX     QUARTER SIZE HAIL
04/19/95   CLAY

140 PM     8 NW PETROLIA             TX     NICKEL SIZE HAIL
04/19/95   CLAY

145 PM     7 S 2 E TEMPLE            OK     3/4 INCH HAIL
04/19/95   COTTON

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