Severe Thunderstorm Warning 362, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
243 AM CST SAT NOV 11 1995

UPPER TROF CONTS EAST ACRS MIDSECTION OF COUNTRY BECOMING NEGATIVELY
TILTED IN THE PROCESS. BEST PARAMETERS FOR SVR ACRS FA ARE FROM JUST
BEFORE SR TO ABT NOON. ETA GRIDDED DATA HAS MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE
JUST ABT CENTERED OVR L.A.(LWR ALABAMA) THIS ALSO IN AREA OF GREATEST
DIFFERENTIAL DIVERGENCE FOR THE EARLY MORNING PERIOD. ABSENCE OF ANY
COOLING AT 50H AND LACK OF A GOOD SE FLOW WILL PRECLUDE ANY SIG
OUTBREAK BUT SHUD SEE SQUALL LINE COME THRU JUST AHEAD OF FRONT.
FROPA SHUD BE BETWEEN FROM 11-15Z ACRS FA WITH MOB ABT 14Z AND PNS
15-16Z. CLEARING SHUD BE RAPID WITH FROPA AND SHUD EXPECT CLEAR SKIES
4 TO 5 HRS AFTER FROPA. NGM HAS FLIPFLOPPED FROM 24 HRS AGO AND IS
NOW WARMER THAN AVN FOR SAT NITES LOW. MID 30S STILL LOOKING GOOD FOR
MOB/PNS WITH NEAR FREEZING INLAND. TODAYS HIGH WILL BE THIS MORNING
BEFORE FROPA.(1)73/33/59/36 62 9000  (2)75/35/60/38 64 9000   DF

ALZ061-063-062-064-051-052-053-055-056-059-MSZ075-076-078-079-067-
FLZ001-002-005-006-003-004-ALZ057-060-058-054-111415-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
413 AM CST SAT NOV 11 1995

              ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THIS MORNING...

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE PART OF SOUTH MISSISSIPPI
...SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 10 AM.

A COLD FRONT MOVING RAPIDLY EAST THROUGH MISSISSIPPI WAS SPAWNING SEVERE
WEATHER EARLY SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE JUST EAST OF MOBILE
AROUND SUNRISE AND MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA DURING THE MORNING.

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING A FEW HOURS AFTER
DAYLIGHT OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE EAST AND
EXIT THE EASTERN SECTIONS BEFORE NOON TODAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE WERE REPORTED
AS THE STORMS MOVED ACROSS ARKANSAS AND INTO NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
OVERNIGHT.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW THE REQUIRMENTS FOR FLASH
FLOODING BUT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND SOME MINOR FLOODING OF
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SANTA ROSA AND
OKALOOSA COUNTIES WHERE SOIL IS STILL NEARLY SATURATED FROM EARLIER
HEAVY RAINS.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE EXTENDED
OR REISSUED FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS LATER THIS MORNING.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM FORECAST AND
WARNINGS AS THEY ARE ISSUED.

ALZ061-063-062-064-051-052-053-055-056-059-MSZ075-076-078-079-067-
FLZ001-002-005-006-003-004-ALZ057-060-058-054-111415-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
413 AM CST SAT NOV 11 1995

              ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THIS MORNING...

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR A LARGE PART OF SOUTH MISSISSIPPI
...SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE UNTIL 10 AM.

A COLD FRONT MOVING RAPIDLY EAST THROUGH MISSISSIPPI WAS SPAWNING SEVERE
WEATHER EARLY SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE JUST EAST OF MOBILE
AROUND SUNRISE AND MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTH ALABAMA DURING THE MORNING.

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING A FEW HOURS AFTER
DAYLIGHT OVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE EAST AND
EXIT THE EASTERN SECTIONS BEFORE NOON TODAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND NUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE WERE REPORTED
AS THE STORMS MOVED ACROSS ARKANSAS AND INTO NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
OVERNIGHT.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW THE REQUIRMENTS FOR FLASH
FLOODING BUT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND SOME MINOR FLOODING OF
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SANTA ROSA AND
OKALOOSA COUNTIES WHERE SOIL IS STILL NEARLY SATURATED FROM EARLIER
HEAVY RAINS.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE EXTENDED
OR REISSUED FOR THE EASTERN SECTIONS LATER THIS MORNING.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM FORECAST AND
WARNINGS AS THEY ARE ISSUED.