Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
255 PM EST FRI MAR 17 1995

DISC...SVR WW #119 VALID UNTIL 2300Z...

WILL KEEP THIS SHORT AND SWEET. SLOW MOVING TANDEM OF SURFACE/UPPER LOW TO
DRIFT ACROSS PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. GRIDDED DATA SHOWS HIGH
INSTABILITY THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH COLD TEMPS ALOFT AND STRONGEST UVM THROUGH 24
HOURS AS UPPER VORTLOBE CROSSES STATE. SAT PIX SHOW VERY ACTIVE CONVECTION OVER
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PENINSULA ...WITH MORE STORMS OUT OVER THE EASTERN GULF.
WITH ALL THAT ACTIVITY YET TO CROSS STATE...WILL CONTINUE 80/50 POP OVER CWA
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. SLGT CHANCE/CHANCE POP WARRANTED FOR EARLY TOMORROW NIGHT
AS HIGH MEAN RH DEPICTED BY ALL MODELS STILL HANGING TOUGH OVER EASTERN
PENINSULA ON 00Z SUN. NORTHEAST FLOW TO DEVELOP ON SUNDAY...LOW LEVEL RH STILL
HIGH...SO COASTAL SC A GOOD BET.

ZONES ALIGNED TO ACCOUNT FOR WATCH. MAY HAVE TO BE RESHUFFLED SHOULD SELS
DECIDE TO EXTEND/EXPAND WW. MIA...WILL RE-SEND IF THIS OCCURS.

@1...VOLUSIA
@2...LAKE SEMINOLE
@3...ORANGE OSCEOLA OKEECHOBEE
@4...BREVARD INDIAN RIVER ST LUCIE MARTIN

MCO  63/74 57/73 55 60852
DAB  61/72 55/70 52 60853
MLB  63/75 59/74 56 60853

CRISTALDI

FLZ038-501-171545-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND RADAR SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
942 AM EST FRI MAR 17 1995

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO FLAGLER COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
... WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING... ALONG THE WESTERN PORTION OF FLAGLER COUNTY.
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WAS 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BUNNELL.

MOVEMENT OF THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS EAST AT 15 MPH.

IN ADDITION... LARGE AREAS OF RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM JACKSONVILLE TO DAYTONA BEACH TO
MELBOURNE TO VERO BEACH.

MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

AT SIGNS OF AN IMPENDING STORM...TOWERING THUNDERHEADS...DARKENING
SKIES...LIGHTNING AND INCREASING WINDS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.
TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

FLZ064-501-182200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
356 PM EST SAT FEB 18 1995

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE MARTIN COUNTY COAST...

AT 355 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AT MELBOURNE SHOWED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM ALONG THE COAST NEAR JENSEN BEACH TO ABOUT
5 MILES WEST OF JUPITER INLET. THE STORMS WERE DRIFTING NORTHEAST.

THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING..VERY HEAVY RAIN..AND POSSIBLY HAIL NEAR THE COAST AND
OVER THE NEAR SHORE COASTAL WATERS OF MARTIN COUNTY DURING THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS..INCLUDING MARINE INTERESTS..
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THESE THUNDERSTORMS AND TAKE SHELTER IF
THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

GLITTO


FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-171830-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1133 AM EST FRI MAR 17 1995

...AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 PM  FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

A BROAD AND SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO...WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT....AND WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE STATE ON SATURDAY.

ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS STORM. TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE ARE QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AND DRY MID LEVEL AIR IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE DAY....WHICH WILL CAUSE THE AIR
MASS OVER THE REGION TO BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE. WITH SOME AFTERNOON SUNSHINE...
TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S...WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE
FORMATION OF A SEA BREEZE ALONG THE COAST.

ALL THESE FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
...AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS OVER THE STATE
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK... ANY STORMS WHICH DO FORM WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS WELL.

IF YOU/RE PLANNING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TODAY...KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TV OR
RADIO STATIONS. ACTIVATION OF SPOTTER NETWORKS...INCLUDING AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME IN THE WATCH AREA. SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED
TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MELBOURNE.

CRISTALDI

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-171830-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1133 AM EST FRI MAR 17 1995

...AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 600 PM  FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

A BROAD AND SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO...WILL APPROACH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT....AND WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE STATE ON SATURDAY.

ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THIS STORM. TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE ARE QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AND DRY MID LEVEL AIR IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE DAY....WHICH WILL CAUSE THE AIR
MASS OVER THE REGION TO BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE. WITH SOME AFTERNOON SUNSHINE...
TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S...WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE
FORMATION OF A SEA BREEZE ALONG THE COAST.

ALL THESE FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
...AND DEADLY CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS OVER THE STATE
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK... ANY STORMS WHICH DO FORM WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS WELL.

IF YOU/RE PLANNING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TODAY...KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TV OR
RADIO STATIONS. ACTIVATION OF SPOTTER NETWORKS...INCLUDING AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...IS RREQUESTED AT THIS TIME IN THE WATCH AREA. SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED
TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MELBOURNE.

CRISTALDI

FLZ040-172015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
214 PM EST FRI MAR 17 1995

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING IN SOUTH MARION COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
15 MILES WEST OF SUMMERFIELD.

MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THIS STORM.

AT SIGNS OF AN IMPENDING STORM...TOWERING THUNDERHEADS...DARKENING
SKIES...LIGHTNING AND INCREASING WINDS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.
TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.